JuiceManSports 10/25
No idea why the threads keep getting deleted...
NFL: New England Patriots +PR=0.13 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers. New England is in a great spot here on the road, and offenses in motion usually continue to stay in motion. The Power Ranking Model only gives them a +PR of 0.13, which is a nice 1Unit bet vs the Spread. PICK: New England Patriots -15
Breakdown of Unit Betting.
Plays with PR Advantage of .07 - .15 = 1Unit Play
Plays with PR Advantage of .16 - .50 = 2Unit Play
Plays with PR Atvantage of .51 - .75 = 3unit Play
Plays with PR Advantage of .76 - 1.24 = 4Unit Play
Plays with PR Advantage of 1.24 or more = 5unit Play
Paid Plays already in progress:
Indianapolis Colts +PR=0.59 vs St Louis Rams. Running the #'s on this game was sick. Everytime I ran it the Colts were a 3Unit play, even adding in the dozens of Variables. This one looks strong, and an easy play. The only thing that scares me is that over 70% of the Public is on the Colts in this game. PICK: Indianapolis Colts -14 3Units.
Green Bay Packers +PR=0.32 vs Cleveland Browns. Should be an easy -9 Cover, solid 2Unit bet for a traveling Packers team. I wanted to go a little higher on this one personally, but running the #'s says 2Units. PICK: Green Bay Packers -9 2Units
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