Tony Weston SUNDAY'S PLAYS 30 Dime Colts
10 Dime Vikings
5 Dime Angels-Yankees Over
Colts at Rams
COLTS - A few years ago this might’ve been one of the marquee matchups on the NFL’s docket. Now, with the Colts visiting the Rams, it’s just become what will Peyton Manning do for an encore.
Indianapolis comes into this game absolutely red hot, sitting at a perfect 5-0 SU and having covered in 4 straight games, including their last game two weeks ago when they cruised to a 31-9 win on the road at the Titans as a 3-point favorite.
Including that game against the Titans, the Colts have now covered in 9 of their last 11 games in October and come into this game 3-1-1 ATS their last 5 games when installed as a road favorite. On the road, overall, Indy has gone 6-1-1 ATS.
Now they get a shot at a Rams team that has been a huge money loser. The Rams have covered in just 8 of their last 25 games overall and are 8-17 ATS their last 25 when installed as an underdog.
St. Louis has also covered in just 3 of its last 12 home games and is only 3-11 ATS its last 14 games when installed as a home underdog. So far this season the Rams are just 2-4 ATS overall and have not covered in either of their two home games, having lost by an average of 23.5 points per game.
Things won’t get any better today against Peyton Manning and the rolling Colts.
Vikings at Steelers
VIKINGS - The Minnesota Vikings are a perfect 6-0 SU this season and hit the road to battle a Steelers team that’s just 4-2 SU this year and is only 1-5 ATS, yet the Vikings are installed as an underdog?
Absolutely ridiculous and I’m taking full advantage as I’m taking the Vikings on the road in this one.
So far this season the Vikings have gone 4-2 ATS, but are a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road, where they’ve outscored their opponents, on average, by 18.6 points per. Granted, those road wins have come at Cleveland, at Detroit and at St. Louis, but Minnesota is not only winning, but it’s winning big.
Going back a little further, the Vikings have covered in four straight road games and now get to do battle with a Steelers team that’s just 1-6 ATS its last 7 games overall and has covered just once its last 7 games when installed as a favorite.
The Steelers also have some injury issues, with the biggest coming on the defensive side of the ball where safety Troy Polamalu is hobbling around and defensive end Aaron Smith is done for the season with a shoulder injury.
Minnesota has been able to pretty much do whatever it wants against anyone and will again do the same. I’m not suggesting playing the money line on the Vikings, but do take the points and take Minnesota on the road in this one.
Yankees-Angels Total
OVER - The Total for tonight’s Game 6 of the ALCS is set at around 9 runs up from the last 2 games of this series. It won’t matter because that won’t be enough runs and I’m taking full advantage.
After staying Under the total in the first two games of the American League Championship Series, the teams played to a Push in Game 3, but combined for 9 runs. Then in Game 4 on Tuesday, the teams exploded for 11 runs, going well Over the 8 1/2 run total. In Game 5, the teams, once again, scored in bunches, putting up 13 runs, blowing well past the 8 1/2 run Total.
Including the last two games, these teams have seen the Over go 9-5-1 in their last 15 meetings this season. Going back a little further, the Over has gone 19-9-1 the last 29 meetings between these two and it has come in 5 straight times in which Yankees scheduled starter Andy Pettitte takes the mound at home against the Angels.
Consider, too, the Over has been the smart play when Anaheim scheduled starter Joe Saunders takes the mound.
The Over has come in 16 of Saunders’ last 22 starts and it is 8-3 his last 11 on the road. The Over is also on a 9-3-1 run when Saunders faces the AL East.
These two will score in bunches once again tonight and go well Over the Total.