5 dimes 10.25
5DimeSports5 Dime Play Take San Francisco +3.5 (Buy the half if you can't get it) San Francisco coming off a bye and getting Frank Gore back is a situation I like as an underdog. Considering the 49ers were embarrassed at home by the Falcons, you got to think coach Mike Singletary has ingrained the thought of having too much confidence and the importance of tackling your opponent. Houston is coming off a big win against Cincinnati and a let down is in effect this week. Houston is 30th in rushing yards per game and 24th in rushing yards allowed per game. You can expect Schaub to pass the ball and score, but once San Francisco starts hitting him, you can expect him to fold. San Francisco is ranked 5th in covering the spread with a 4-1 record and Houston is ranked 15th in covering the spread with a 3-3 record. Houston is 1-3 ats with a spread of -6.5 or less. San Francisco is 2-0 ats as an underdog this season.
Betting System In Play: Any team - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. (30-7 ATS) Play = SAN FRANCISCO against the spread
Trends I like
* Gary kubiak is 0-8 ats versus good rushing defenses—allowing <=90 rushing yards/game as the coach of Houston. the average score was kubiak 17.9, oPPonent 34
* 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
* 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
* 49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* 49ers are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
3 DIME BONUS
Take Over 44 I expect this game to be pretty exciting with these two teams battling it out as Houston has power and San Francisco trys to regain their edge. SAN FRANCISCO: 10-0 OVER away after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992....15-3 OVER away versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992....32-14 OVER versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992....13-4 OVER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992....35-19 OVER after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
5 Dime Play Take San Francisco +3.5 (Buy the half if you can't get it) San Francisco coming off a bye and getting Frank Gore back is a situation I like as an underdog. Considering the 49ers were embarrassed at home by the Falcons, you got to think coach Mike Singletary has ingrained the thought of having too much confidence and the importance of tackling your opponent. Houston is coming off a big win against Cincinnati and a let down is in effect this week. Houston is 30th in rushing yards per game and 24th in rushing yards allowed per game. You can expect Schaub to pass the ball and score, but once San Francisco starts hitting him, you can expect him to fold. San Francisco is ranked 5th in covering the spread with a 4-1 record and Houston is ranked 15th in covering the spread with a 3-3 record. Houston is 1-3 ats with a spread of -6.5 or less. San Francisco is 2-0 ats as an underdog this season.
Betting System In Play: Any team - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. (30-7 ATS) Play = SAN FRANCISCO against the spread
Trends I like
* Gary kubiak is 0-8 ats versus good rushing defenses—allowing <=90 rushing yards/game as the coach of Houston. the average score was kubiak 17.9, oPPonent 34
* 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
* 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
* 49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* 49ers are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
3 DIME BONUS
Take Over 44 I expect this game to be pretty exciting with these two teams battling it out as Houston has power and San Francisco trys to regain their edge. SAN FRANCISCO: 10-0 OVER away after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992....15-3 OVER away versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992....32-14 OVER versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992....13-4 OVER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992....35-19 OVER after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
4 DIME PLAY
New Orleans @ Miami
4 Dimes Take New Orleans -6.5 I just can't believe anyone could go against New Orleans with such a low line and trust me their are people who are. Yeah Miami has the #1 ranked rushing offense, but New Orleans has the #5 rushing defense. Miami is 26th in passing offense and NO is 13th in passing defense. NO is 7th in passing offense and #1 in points scored per game, Miami is 19th in passing defense and you saw what they did to the Giants #1 ranked overall defense and #1 ranked passing defense. O yeah Miami is 16th in points scored. NO is 2nd in covering the spread with a 5-0 record behind Denver who has a 6-0 record. Miami is 22nd in covering the spread with a 2-3 record. Considering Miami lost their first three games and won their last two, I see Miami getting a reality check here. Let me just say, if I lose this one at least I knew I had the best starting hand with out a doubt.
Trends I like
NO 11-1 ATS as a favorite over the L2 seasons
NO 15-5 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons
NO 7-0 ATS away after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since 1992
7-0 ATS away after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992
2 Dime Bonus
2 Dime Play Take Over 48 Betting System Play-Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game. (26-6 Over) Play = Over the total
4 Dime Play take Minnesota +6
If you look at the overall ranks for these two teams, you would think take Pittsburgh. But if you dig deeper you will see Minnesota is ranked 2nd in points scored and 18th in points allowed. Pittsburgh is ranked 14th in points scored and 11th in points allowed. Farve has 12 TD passes and 2 INTs this season, while Big Ben has 10 TD passes and 6 INTs. With Jared Allen, leagues #3 sacker, pressuring Ben we will see forced throws and bad decissions by Big Ben. Pittsburgh counters with James Harrison, leagues #4 sacker, but Minnesota's offensive line has allowed less sacks this season. Minnesota is ranked 7th in covering the spread with a 4-2 record and have not been an underdog yet this season, but they are undefeated. Pittsburgh is ranked 30th in covering the spread this season with a 1-5 record, 1-3 with the spread of -3 to -7. Line might even move more in our favor by game time, line started at -4. Farve is on fire and we all know what A.P. can do, take the dog with a chance to win outright.
Trends I like
* Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
* Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
* Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
* Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
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