
4 Dime Play take Minnesota +6
If you look at the overall ranks for these two teams, you would think take Pittsburgh. But if you dig deeper you will see Minnesota is ranked 2nd in points scored and 18th in points allowed. Pittsburgh is ranked 14th in points scored and 11th in points allowed. Farve has 12 TD passes and 2 INTs this season, while Big Ben has 10 TD passes and 6 INTs. With Jared Allen, leagues #3 sacker, pressuring Ben we will see forced throws and bad decissions by Big Ben. Pittsburgh counters with James Harrison, leagues #4 sacker, but Minnesota's offensive line has allowed less sacks this season. Minnesota is ranked 7th in covering the spread with a 4-2 record and have not been an underdog yet this season, but they are undefeated. Pittsburgh is ranked 30th in covering the spread this season with a 1-5 record, 1-3 with the spread of -3 to -7. Line might even move more in our favor by game time, line started at -4. Farve is on fire and we all know what A.P. can do, take the dog with a chance to win outright.
Trends I like
- Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.