tony weston 10/24
SATURDAY'S PLAYS 30 Dime Oregon
10 Dime Iowa
5 Dime Angels-Yankees Over
Oregon at Washington
OREGON - Right now Oregon is playing better than any team in the Pac-10 and is on track to win the conference.
After a heartbreaking loss on the road at Boise State to start the season, losing 19-8 as a 3 1/2 point underdog, the Ducks have gone 5-0 SU and have covered in 4 straight coming into today’s game.
On this four-game stretch Oregon has beaten its opponents by an average of 26.5 points per game and now gets a shot at a Washington team that’s gone just 1-3 SU its last 4 games and has covered in just 2 of its last 4 games.
But where the real money has been made is when these two have faced each other.
Since 2004 the Ducks have gone a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS against the Huskies, beating them by an average of 24.8 points per game.
When these two played last year, the Ducks cruised to a 34-point victory, beating Washington 44-10 as a 14-point favorite.
Oregon will do it again and make it 6 in a row against the Huskies.
Iowa at Michigan State
IOWA - Who would’ve figured Iowa would be leading the Big Ten and be a perfect 7-0 SU more than midway through the season?
Well, here the Hawkeyes are, still undefeated.
Iowa has covered in 4 of its 6 lined games this season and travels to take on Michigan State and is installed as a slight 1 1/2 point underdog, depending on where you’re playing this. But it won’t matter because the Hawkeyes will get the outright win.
The Spartans come into this game just 4-3 SU and only 3-3 ATS so far this season and is coming off a non-cover last week at home against visiting Northwestern.
Recently, in this series the smart money has been on Iowa, which has gone 6-1 ATS its last 7 meetings against the Spartans, including covers in 3 straight games. Also, in this series the Underdog has gone 5-2 ATS the last 7 meetings, including each of the last two years where the Hawkeyes covered as a ’dog.
Iowa will do it again and get over on the Spartans in this one.
Yankees-Angels Total
OVER - The Total for tonight’s Game 6 of the ALCS is set at around 9 runs up from the last 2 games of this series. It won’t matter because that won’t be enough runs and I’m taking full advantage.
After staying Under the total in the first two games of the American League Championship Series, the teams played to a Push in Game 3, but combined for 9 runs. Then in Game 4 on Tuesday, the teams exploded for 11 runs, going well Over the 8 1/2 run total. In Game 5, the teams, once again, scored in bunches, putting up 13 runs, blowing well past the 8 1/2 run Total.
Including the last two games, these teams have seen the Over go 9-5-1 in their last 15 meetings this season. Going back a little further, the Over has gone 19-9-1 the last 29 meetings between these two and it has come in 5 straight times in which Yankees scheduled starter Andy Pettitte takes the mound at home against the Angels.
Consider, too, the Over has been the smart play when Anaheim scheduled starter Joe Saunders takes the mound.
The Over has come in 16 of Saunders’ last 22 starts and it is 8-3 his last 11 on the road. The Over is also on a 9-3-1 run when Saunders faces the AL East.
These two will score in bunches once again tonight and go well Over the Total.
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