[dojo]

GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 10/24/09 - 8:00 PM

triple-dime bet 398 Southern Cal -20.0 (-110) vs 397 Oregon St.

Analysis: CFB Game of the Month Play

First off this is a HUGE Revenge Game for the Trojans, and I 110% expect the Trojans and their fans to be VERY UP for this ballgame on Saturday Night. Oregon St. was the only team to beat USC last year AT Oregon St. and that loss cost USC a shot at the national title & if you think for one second that Pete Carrol and Co. have not had this years game vs Oregon St. circled on their calendar, you are gravely mistaken IMO. The Trojan Defense is ranked in the Top 5 again this season, as they hold their opponents to a meager 2.1 yards per carry and 67 rushing yards overall per game. Matt Barkley and that USC offense looked very strong at Notre Dame last weekend, as Barkley threw for 380 yds, and USC amassed over 500 yds of offense and that offense looks very scary. I expect them to keep it going vs this Beavers defense on the road and in a VERY HOSTILE environment at night. I really do not see USC taking their foot off the gas pedal here & I think the Beavers are in serious trouble on Saturday Night. I look for the USC "D" to harrass the Beavers all day as the Beavers allow way to many sacks (they rank 110th in the nation in sacks allowed) vs a Trojan "D" that ranks #1 in the nation in sacking the QB. USC has the team speed on defense to contain the Rodgers brothers & the pressure they will put on the Beavers offense will put Oregon St. in several 3rd and long downs, which will enable USC to get a couple turnovers and should give them a short field on a few occasions. Bottom line for me here, this is a GREAT SPOT to back USC, as they have MAJOR REVENGE going for them, they are playing AT HOME, AT NIGHT, and on NATIONAL TV, and I FULLY expect a very focused and motivated USC team, to blowout the Beavers in this spot in a Trojan MAXIMUM effort game, and this is my College Football Game of the Month Play.

double-dime bet 393 Auburn 8.0 (-110) vs 394 LSU

Analysis: Auburn comes into this game having lost two straight games, and I look for a HUGE effort out of them in this spot vs conference rival LSU. LSU is coming off a loss vs Florida in their last game, and had a bye last week. Auburn has covered 3 of the last 4 in this series and the last 5 games in this series have ALL been decided by 6 pts or less,and I really expect that to be the same this Saturday. It also should be noted that LSU is just 2-12-1 their last 15 home games, and this matchup with a very potent Auburn offense will be no easy feat for LSU to not only cover the number, but for them to win straight up. I look for Auburns run game to have success and keep this game very close and I really believe this game could go either way straight up and I look for Auburn to cover the number for us on Saturday Night.

384 Michigan St. 1.5 (-110) vs 383 Iowa

Analysis: Iowa comes into this game still without a loss, and the public will be ALL over them in this spot, but I think the wrong team is favored and I like Michigan St. in this spot up to -2. Iowa's strength is not turning the ball over and their pass defense, however they do not defend the run all that great & I look for the Spartans to have success running the ball at home on Saturday Night. The Spartans have out gained its opponent in all but one game this year. The home team has won straight up in each of the last Nine meetings in this series. Iowa is also playing their 2nd straight conference road game, as they are coming off a win over Wisconsin & I really believe they are in a tough spot here & I look for a very fired up Michigan St. team and crowd to come away with the victory over this over-rated Iowa team on Saturday Night.

[bill2266]

on it ty for the plays

[stumptown]

thanks mate