PICK:RutgersYour pick will be graded at: -10.5 BelmontEXPERT: Wise Guys TITLE: SHARP MONEY GAME OF THE WEEK - NCAAF REASON FOR PICK:
(305) RUTGERS at (306) ARMY 8:00 PM
The Covers Wiseguys received information from a handful of offshore stages that the Sharp money was trickling in on Rutgers, this after decoy money came in on Army early allowing the line to move below 10. Enough money has trickled in on the Scarlet Knights, a two possession favorite, to prevent Sharp Syndicates from burying Rutgers.
It's unlikely the Jersey bunch will move to much more than 10-point chalk even if the comparable stats justify so, but they are a top play of the Week heading into Saturday full slate of action.
Rutgers receives its second straight national spotlight in as many weeks, this time on the road against a sluggish Army squad. The Scarlet Knights trail in the all-time series 18-17, but have covered the last six in a row.
There is no forgiving Army for being dominated by Greg Schiano's crew as Rutgers has found the victory column in the last four matchups by 30 points per contest. Army isn't very good, and even though they have improved under Rich Ellerson they have been dominated as a home dog (13-28-1 ATS).
Additionally when Rutgers closes as a double-digit favorite they cover nearly 66% of the time (15-8 ATS) making them one of the best bets this week against the Vegas line.
Consider the following:
1. Favorite has covered the spread 18 times in this series, while the underdog has cashed on six times.
2. Rutgers is 18-3 ATS when they allow less than 250 total yards winning by an average margin of 30 points. Army averages 285 yards of offense at home this year.