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    Default Larry Ness 10/24/09 Legend

    PICK: Stanford Your pick will be graded at: -6.5 WSEX EXPERT: Larry Ness TITLE: Larry Ness' 10* LEGEND Play (12-4 s/'05) REASON FOR PICK: ASU and Stanford square off on the West Coast Saturday night in the PAC 10. Both are coming off games which ended in "wild finishes," ASU getting a 'miracle' win and Stanford suffering a heartbreaking loss. The Huskies and Sun Devils were tied at 17-all in Tempe last Saturday and seemingly headed for OT. However, Washington used poor clock management in the final minute or so and wound up having to punt the ball back to ASU with 22 seconds remaining. ASU senior QB Danny Sullivan, who has faced calls from critics to be replaced by highly-touted freshman Brock Osweiler, threw a 50-yard TD pass to Chris McGaha with five seconds to play, giving ASU a stunning 24-17 victory. It marked the longest completion of the embattled QB's career and was the only catch of the night for McGaha, who had missed practice all week with illness but somehow got behind the ENTIRE Washington secondary and was WIDE OPEN! As for Stanford, the Cardinal would blow a 15-point lead to Arizona, including a 38-29 lead in the 4th quarter. The Wildcats closed within 38-36 with 10 minutes to go on a 43-yard TD run and then stopped Stanford on downs at their own eight-yard line. A 37-yard pass got them near mid-field and on a 3rd and 17 play, Arizona broke a 57-yard TD run. With the Wildcats up 43-38, Stanford again reached the Arizona red zone (as far as the 12) but again came up empty. So what happens here? ASU has dominated the last three years of this series , outscoring the Cardinal 120-23 in three wins but a closer look at the recent history shows the home team going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in this series. Sullivan is NOT a good QB (54.5% with a 5-5 ratio) and the ASU running game has no 'star' while averaging 141.8 YPG. The defense is excellent (247.8 YPG / 16.0 PPG allowed) but will be severely tested here on "The Farm." Stanford is led by an outstanding 6' 4" freshman QB, Andrew Luck (57.7% / 227 YPG / 9-3 ratio) and senior RB Toby Gerhart (869 YR / 5.2 YPC / 12 TDs) leads the way for a running game which averages 201.1 YPG (5.2 YPC) with 15 TDs. The Stanford defense is middle-of-the-pack but the ASU offense doesn't own the 'tools' to expose those weaknesses. Stanford is 3-0 SU and ATs at home this year (outscoring opponents on average, 33.3-15.7 PPG) and is 7-1 SU at home since the beginning of last year, losing only USC. In its two Pac 10 home games of 2009, the Cardinal have dominated the line of scrimmage in beating both Washington and UCLA, running for an average of 247.5 YPG (5.3 YPC) while holding their two conference foes to just 97.5 YPG (3.5 YPC). Note that ASU is just 9-19-2 ATS (32.1 percent!) as an away dog this decade. I used a 10* on Stanford back on Sep 26 and the Cardinal CRUSHED Washington, 34-14. Same score here! LEGEND Play on Stanford (10*).

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    Im new to this but it says i have 24 points available but its not letting me give you any. Let me know if im doing something wrong. Did you only get his legend play or do you have his nfl 26* play also?

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    Quote Originally Posted by ryan102187 View Post
    Im new to this but it says i have 24 points available but its not letting me give you any. Let me know if im doing something wrong. Did you only get his legend play or do you have his nfl 26* play also?
    Give em a inch, and they take a mile. Wow.

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    im sorry if im seeming disrespectful here. I have posted plays also. im trying to give points for the picks as ppl gave me points for plays ive posted. I dont know what im doing wrong.

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    Quote Originally Posted by stumptown View Post
    Give em a inch, and they take a mile. Wow.

    LOL!

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    Quote Originally Posted by ryan102187 View Post
    Im new to this but it says i have 24 points available but its not letting me give you any. Let me know if im doing something wrong. Did you only get his legend play or do you have his nfl 26* play also?

    Larry Ness' NFL 26* Play (PERFECT 4-0 in NFL 2008!)

    Pick: Pittsburgh - 4.5

    The Vikings almost blew a 27-10 4th-quarter lead against the Ravens last Sunday but came back to take a 33-31 lead with 1:56 remaining, then survived when Baltimore kicker Steven Hauschka missed his late FG try wide. The NFC North-leading Vikings are now 6-0 (first time since 2003) and looking to move to 7-0 for the first time since 2000 (made NFC championship game that year). To get to 7-0, the Vikings will have to win at Pittsburgh, the defending Super Bowl champs, which have won three straight since a 1-2 start and will take a seven-game regular season home winning streak into the contest (nine in a row counting two wins in LY's postseason). Favre has completed 69.7% for 1,347 yards with 12 TDs and just two INTs and is third in the NFL with a 109.5 QB rating. AP's 618 rushing yards leads the NFL (seven TDs), as the combo has allowed Minnesota to average 31.5 PPG (2nd-highest in the NFL), having scored at least 27 points in all six games in 2009. While the Steelers are not running the ball like Pittsburgh teams of the past for the second straight season (rank 15th in the NFL at 107.0 YPG), check out Big Ben's numbers. He's completing 72.5% for 1,887 yards (No.2 in the NFL at 314.5 YPG) with 10 TDs and six INTs (104.5 QB rating is right behind Favre). Ward is No€. 1 in yards receiving (599), tied for first in receptions (41) and leads the NFL with 10 catches for 20-plus yards. The team's other Super Bowl MVP, Holmes, has 28 catches (15.6 YPC) plus TE Miller has 34 catches with four TDs. Let's get to the defenses. The Steelers allow 275.2 YPG (3rd) while the Vikings allow 341.8 YPG. Pittsburgh allows 74.5 YPG on the ground (2nd) while the Vikings allow 93.5 YPG. Pittsburgh's pass D allows 201.0 YPG (58.4%) while Minnesota's allows 248.0 YPG (64.9%). Safety Troy Polamalu is back for Pittsburgh but Minnesota CB Antoine Winfield suffered a sprained right foot in the second quarter vs Baltimore and may miss here. Bottom line is this. The Vikings are 6-0 but they've only out-gained TWO of six opponents (the Browns and 49ers), while the Steelers have out-gained all SIX of their opponents. Note that Pittsburgh just out-gained the Browns 543-197 (Minnesota out-gained them just 310-268), who have lost 11 of their last 12 games. The Rams, who have lost 16 straight games out-gained the Vikings 400-377 and the Lions, who have lost 22 of their last 23 matched the Vikings (265 yards to 265) in Week 2. My point is the Vikings are 'ripe' for a loss. I expected them to lose last week to the Ravens and won with the Ravens as my 25* Underdog GOY. I'm upping the ante in Week 7. Unlike the Broncos, Colts and Saints, the Vikings haven't been putting opponents away week after week. Minnesota could (should?) have lost to the 49ers, could have lost to the Packers and last week 'escaped' vs the Ravens, who had 4th-quarter scoring drives of 75, 73 and 33 yards before driving 41 yards and then missing a game-wining FG. Minnesota's "luck runs out" vs the defending champs and it won't be close! NFL 26* Pitt Steelers.
    Points Awarded:

    ryan102187 gave dojo 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


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