I know this is early but I do not think that I will be able to post this on Sunday.
Evan Altemus | NFL Side Sun, 10/25/09 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet [B][B]415 IND -13.0 (-110) 416 STL Analysis: The old school handicapping approach is to take all double digit underdogs in the NFL. However, these games with double digit spreads usually feature one team that is an easy against the spread winner, be it on the underdog or favorite. Several times this season St. Louis has had never in doubt against the spread losses this season, despite being a significant underdog. Both Minnesota and Green Bay got easy covers against the Rams in St. Louis this season. However, St. Louis continues to get points for playing at home, even though it’s obvious that there is little to no home field advantage for them. Indianapolis only has to travel a small distance for this game, so the crowd could very well consist of a high percentage of Colts fans. Basically there is value on Indianapolis here, despite them being double digit favorites on the road. This game sets up perfectly for the Colts from a point spread perspective. They are coming off of a bye week, facing a winless team that suffered an overtime loss last week after having a lead. In addition, this game is somewhat of a look ahead spot for the Rams. They face a one win Detroit team next week, so chances are the players and coaches will be thinking about that game being their next shot at getting their first win. St. Louis is dealing with several injuries, as well, while Indianapolis is getting healthier. The Colts will have their All-Pro safety Bob Sanders back for this game to bolster a defense that has already been strong this season. Indianapolis offense has been virtually unstoppable this season, scoring 31 points or more in their last 3 games, and they have shown the motivation to run the score up on teams. They controlled their last game against Tennessee, but Peyton Manning continued to throw the ball late in the 4th quarter. Meanwhile, St. Louis’ game last week at Jacksonville is misleading. The Jaguars had well over 400 yards on offense, and one of the Rams scores came on an interception returned for a touchdown. Essentially the Rams only scored 13 offensive points against a mediocre defense. St. Louis gave up 38 and 36 points to Minnesota and Green Bay, and now t