Craig Davis
Monday's Lineup
30 Dime --- CHARGERS (Buy the 1/2 point if your line is -3 1/2)

15 Dime --- YANKEES

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (this line is holding steady at -3 1/2. if that's the case, buy the half point down to -3) --- It's starting to happen again... and it's only Week 6. Teams that shouldn't be winning (Oakland, Buffalo) are winning games, not only against the number but straight up, and it's probably only going to get worse. My job is to find those spots and deliver them to you --- and I believe I see one here tonight. What we have is a 5-0 team vs. a 2-2 team, and the 2-2 team is a 3 or 4-point favorite. Granted, they're at home where they do tend to play better, but still, this line should tell you what Vegas is thinking. You have a two-and-a-half game lead over your opponent and you're still the underdog. Something smells funny.

Looking back at the history of this series recently, the Chargers have dominated winning five of the last six with Denver... and in reality, it should be six straight. We all remember the infamous Ed Hochuli phantom fumble call on Jay Cutler that was recovered by San Diego and should have resulted in a Chargers win. Instead, Hochuli called it an incomplete pass, Cutler got another chance, threw a TD pass and completed the two-point conversion for a 39-38 win. Bottom line: San Diego has owned this series over the last three years and have won their last three at home vs. Denver by an average of 26 PPG... that's pure domination if you ask me.

The Chargers have had two weeks to prepare for this game and we all know how well their offense plays when under the lights in primetime. Denver, meanwhile, is off back-to-back fourth quarter home wins against Dallas and New England. I realize their defense is playing much better this year, but if memory serves me correctly... the Jets defense was playing really well until coming into Miami last Monday night... and it disappeared. Miami ran up and down the field on the Jets while Chad Henne completed 20 of 26 passes and two touchdowns. I see a similar result here tonight in San Diego. The Chargers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 at home as a favorite, 21-8-4 ATS in their last 33 vs. divisional rivals, and 6-1 ATS at home in their last seven vs. teams with a winning road record. It's gonna be all Chargers tonight as they win this thing by at least 10 points.

NY YANKEES ---- Simply put, the Yankees broke the Angels spirits Saturday night when they came from behind (down one run) in the bottom of the 9th inning with an Alex Rodriguez solo home run. That dinger tied the game and forced extra innings where they would get a Macier Izturis error that led to the game-winning run in the 13th. Needless to say it was a long plane ride home for the Angels as they find themselves in an 0-2 hole and now have to face lefty Andy Pettitte who pitched very well in Game 3 of the Yankees' series with Minnesota last week. Pettitte went 6 1/3 innings, allowing just three hits and one earned run as the Yanks cruised to a 4-1 win and a series sweep.

Jered Weaver will try to stop the bleeding for Anaheim as he draws a Yankees offense that has tatooed him in seven career starts. Weaver has allowed 27 earned runs in 41 innings of work in seven career starts against New York, including his last outing in which he was beaten up for five earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in an Angels loss. We get a near pick 'em price with the Yankees tonight and I'm just wondering how I could go against them when they're winning games every which way you can think. Pettitte is a crafty veteran who has pitched in numerous post-season games (including 15 post-season victories) and he knows that if he can give his team 6 or 7 quality innings of work tonight, they have a great shot to win yet another in the post-season. The Yankees are the play tonight.