236] 4* San Diego Chargers -3 -120 (1/2 pt buy @ The Greek) | Monday, 8:30p ET

They say 3x is a charm. Let's hope so because we have bet against the Broncos the last two weeks. No doubt, they are playing solid football but they go down on Monday night. Just a bad situational spot for Denver. Similar to Jacksonville walking into Seattle last week and getting hammered. Plus, Denver have lost 5 of L6 to the Chargers. San Diego off a buy, after three tough games vs. Pitt, Miami & Baltimore??, and are under a lot of pressure to elevate their game, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Buy week gives them time to re-focus, prepare and get healthy. Love Rivers in big games and believe he will attack downfield with his big wideouts, in turn, stretching the field and keeping Denver's defense honest. Plus, the Chargers have edge on special teams (Sproles). Still not sold on Denver's offensive (few playmakers; not very explosive). Chargers have the more explosive offense, have home field and will be fired up to play their best game of season on Monday Night Football.

[962] 4* Philadlelphia Phillies -117 (@ the Greek) | Wolf/Blanton | 8:07p ET

Los Angeles start Wolf has arguably been their best starting pitcher this season. However, I'm just not sold on the lefty getting the job done in post-season, especially on the road in Citizens Bank Park. Crowd will be jacked!! Philadelphia have momentum, home field, not to mention, they are playing at a high level and just look more prepared to play in this series. They could easily be up 3-0 in this series. I like Blanton in a big game. He has great stuff, great movement on his pitches and has pitched well in his career vs. the Dodgers (6 innings, 5 hits, 1 run allowed in 6/6). Bottom line: Phillies have come to play and the Dodgers "laid back" Joe Torre/Manny Ramirez type baseball looks to be hurting their edge. Plus, Torre not on his game in this series, especially when it comes to handling his pitching staff (some questional moves??). Plus, it will be hard to battle Philly home crowd energy tonight, especially if Phillies grab the early lead.