Nick BookieKiller Parsons

Today's Pick: TULSA CFB
Boise State vs. Tulsa
8:00 EST

For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this game is on the home side: The challenge tonight for Tulsa will be to stop Broncos QB Kellen Moore; however, I feel that Tulsa’s defense, which is ranked No. 1 in Conference USA and has allowed an average of 204 yards per game passing and eight TD's through the air in six games, will be up to the task. The Golden Hurricane have not allowed a rushing TD all season, and in two games, the opposing offense has been held out of the end zone. The offensive line is continuing to improve, which has led to an improved rushing attack. G.J Kinne has passed for 1,142 yards and 10 TD's this year; Jamad Williams, Kinne, and Charles Opeseyitan have combined for 495 yards and 4 TD's on the season. Keep in mind; dating back to last year, not only is Tulas 5-1 SU its last six overall, its also an awesome 13-1 SU its last 14 in front of the hometown crowd.

On the other side of the field: Boise State is perfect thus far, but is off a lackluster effort its last time out vs. UC Davis; one area the Broncos have struggled in this season is in the red zone; out of 27 trips inside the red zone, they have only converted 16 drives into TD's. And their rushing attack has been off and on all year. Boise States defense has been good in first quarters, but then falters down the stretch allowing teams to get back into games and I'm expecting this pattern to continue this evening.

Bottom line: In its four victories this season, teams have averaged only Nine points against Tulsa’s 3-3-5 defense, a scheme that has given Boise State headaches in recent years. I said that the key to this game for Tulsa will be to slow down Kellen Moore and the offense; the Hurricanes have shown they are capable of accomplishing this and have recorded 16 sacks to date. They also have 43 tackles for a loss. I believe this line is too high and feel we're getting great value on the large home dog; look for the Broncos to fall to 1-1 ATS as a road favorite of 7 1/2 to 10 points this season as TULSA moves to 2-1 ATS in non-conference games! *10* Tulsa.