Note: This line is mainly -2 1/2 with an occasional -3 as I release it on Sunday evening.
If your price is -3, go ahead and buy down the 1/2 point to -2 1/2 to insure you get a win should the Jets only win by three.
If this lines moves to -3 1/2 as kickoff approaches on Monday, obviously you should buy down the 1/2 point to -3 to make sure you get a push if the game results in a three-point New York win.
Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry: we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in these cases.
Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
Note Regarding Sunday's Play
I released Sunday's play on Carolina from the Freehold, New Jersey Wise Guys at 6:45 Eastern on Friday evening, about 10 minutes after I got word that was their play. They obviously released the play early because of an anticipated line move and I wanted to do the same.
The line on Friday night was -3 1/2, and I instructed you at that time to buy down the 1/2 point to -3 on Carolina. And, as you know, the Panthers ultimately won by just three.
The line remained -3 1/2 until late Saturday afternoon at a number of places in Vegas and offshore; in fact that's when I personally bet the game at -3 (buying down the half point).
The line, as you know, moved upward on Saturday night and Sunday.
Now, I can tell you for a fact that looking at the buying patterns for this play, more than half of you took my advice and got this play early. I'm assuming since you bought it early you also bet it early because there is no good reason to ever sit on a favorite; the price is rarely going to go down, especially in the pros. However, I am taking a loss worth -30 dimes on this play.
Bottom line: We either ALL win together or we ALL lose together.
Honesty and integrity; those principles govern my life and they are the core foundation for how this site is run by Al DeMarco as well.
budin 10/12/09
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