*200 Mississippi +5
Every trend I have on this game signals an Ole Miss win! This is a great spot for
Ole Miss today. Bama hasn't covered a spread in Oxford in decade. This is the
biggest game of the year for the Rebels and look for Ole Miss to lay it all on the
line in this must win match up. Let's look at some trends. Alabama is 0-7 ATS since
1980 in games 1-6 and previous opponent was Kentucky. Alabama is also 1-10 ATS since
1980 game 6 and opponents previous game was away. The League is 0-8 ATS (-10.2 ppg)
since October 27, 2007 as a favorite vs. Mississippi. Bama is also 0-4 ATS (-8.5
ppg) since October 15, 2005 vs. Ole Miss. Don't forget, Nut has yet to lose a game
at Ole Miss by more than 7 points!
*200 Miami Ohio +19
Northwestern rallied last week and spent a lot of energy. This game is Miami Ohios
5t road game this year. They have played the likes of Kentucky, Cincinnati and
Boise State. Yes, they are 0-5 and probably going to be 0-6 after today. However
the trends support a cover. Let's look at some of those trends. Miami Ohio is 10-0
ATS since 1990 in game 6 and their opponent scored more than 14 points in their last
game. Miami Ohio is 9-0 ATS since 1990 in game 6 as a dog and their next opponent
conference is vs a MAC team. NorthWestern is 0-7 ATS since 1995 as Home Fav and
opponent previously faced a team from the MAC conference. Look for an easy cover
today as Miami Ohio shows up to play.
*200 Houston +3
Houston was embarassed by UTEP last weekend and I look for them to come out today
and show some pride. Miss St is one of the weakest teams in the SEC and will
struggle to keep up with the speed of this explosive Houston team. Was Houston
caught in a classic trap week? Probably so, and I look for them to rebound nicely
today. In the last meeting, the Cougars enjoyed a 28-16 win against the Bulldogs in
Starkville during the 2005 season. It was UH's second straight win and their sixth
win in the last seven games in the series. The Cougars have enjoyed success on the
road against Mississippi State, posting a 4-3 record in Starkville. I look for
Houston to take the ball to the air against a weak Miss St secondary and get us the
cover today.
*300 South Carolina -9.5
The Gamecocks are no surprise to early season success as they hold a 16-5 record in
the first 7 games of over the past 3 seasons. The Gamecocks must finish the year
like they have started. The Kentucky Wildcats have yet to score a conference
victory this season. The Wildcats scoring offense ranks next to last in the SEC
averaging 25 points per game and their scoring defense ranks 3rd worse allowing 26.5
points per game. The trends are not good for Kentucky today. Let's take a look at
them. Kentucky is 1-8 ATS since 1982 away in game 5 and they lost their previous
game. Kentucky is 0-5 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since December 31, 2007 after a loss at home
*300 Florida State -3
The trends aren't the only thing I am wagering on today. FSU is playing with
revenge in mind today. Tech got the best of them last year and FSU will want to
even that score. FSU will also play hard for their coach tonight as he has taken
some bashing in the media al week. Let's look at some trends that favor our pick.
Ga Tech is 0-7 ATS since 1982 in game 6 and away and they won their previous game.
FSU is 4-0 ATS (+8.5 ppg) since October 02, 1993 vs. Ga Tech after an away game.
*500 San Jose St -4
Anytime we see 25% of the public on a team and the line moving in their favor I am
going to make it a big play. SJS has dominated this series and the Vandals are on a
3 game win streak. This streak will end here today as SJS will prove just to much
to handle. SJSU is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 as a home favorite of
3.5-10 points.
PlayitagainSam gave peeiempee 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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