[aznknightt]

5* Gators/Tigers CBS Saturday Night Showdown on LSU +8
With the questions surrounding Tim Tebow, the clear play is on LSU Saturday. Even if Tebow does play, he won't be on top of his game. He'll be very rusty and worried about getting hit after suffering a concussion. LSU just keeps finding ways to win, and though they have not blown anybody out, you can't fault the Tigers for that. The Tigers have had this one circled on their calendars for a year, and when playing at home down in Baton Rouge, the place will be rockin' Saturday night. LSU's defense is ranked 16th nationally after allowing 14.8 points/game through four games, and this unit gives them a great chance to win outright Saturday. Charles Scott showed he could carry the load last week in their 20-13 win at Georgia, rushing for 95 yards and two touchdowns. QB Jordan Jefferson was calm under pressure, and that experience at Georgia last week will give him a lot of confidence heading into this SEC showdown. The Tigers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series. Take LSU and the points.


5* Yellow Jackets/'Noles ESPN 2 Eruption Florida State -2.5
Florida State players will take it upon themselves to win this one for Bobby Bowden. This is only the second time in Bowden's tenure with the Seminoles that his team has started the season 2-3. He is getting drilled in the media this week, and now it's up to the players to right the ship against Georgia Tech Saturday in support of one of the best head coaches of all-time. FSU hosts Georgia Tech, a team they lost to 28-31 on the road last season. Now that they are more familiar with Paul Johnson's system, look for the 'Noles to stop his triple-option attack this week. Tech rushed for 288 yards on Florida State last year and still only managed to win by a field goal, so don't expect the Yellow Jackets to put up those kind of numbers on the ground again in the 2009 meeting. FSU is 6-0 SU in their last 6 home games vs. Georgia Tech and 12-1 SU in all meetings with the Yellow Jackets since 1992. So you can see how rare that loss really was to the Yellow Jackets last season. FSU is only giving up 3.0 yards/carry at home this season, so they are stopping the run very well. Their weakness is in their pass defense, but Georgia Tech only averaging 13 passing attempts/game. All factors favor the Seminoles, most importantly the motivational factor to win this one for their head coach. Take Florida State and lay the points.


You guys are welcome....

[19th Hole]

BLACK WIDOW
4* on Oregon State +1 (-110 betus)

Oregon State got the signature win they needed last week by beating up on Arizona State 28-17 on the road. Now they return home ready to take the next step, a place where the Beavers have been very tough to beat this decade. Oregon State 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. The Beavers are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. Oregon State is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons. Head coach Mike Riley always has his team playing at their best this time of the season. It's not by chance, either, this guy is one of the most underrated head coaches in the country. Stanford is 1-1 on the road, losing at Wake Forest and beating Washington State, which was expected of course. OSU is finding their stride and will not be denied at home Saturday. Take Oregon State and the points. BLACK WIDOW
4* on New Mexico State +12.5(-110 Sia)

New Mexico State should not be catching double-digit points at home against a 1-3 Utah State squad Saturday. NMSU has put together 2 wins this season, including a big road victory at New Mexico. This team is improved under new head coach DeWayne Walker and they won't be folding against the Aggies Saturday. Utah State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. This team shouldn't be favored this heavily against anyone. New Mexico State is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Take New Mexico State and the points.

[19th Hole]

Black Widow

1* on Army +11

These are two power running teams in Vanderbilt and Army. The Commodores don't have the kind of explosive offense it takes to cover this double-digit spread on the road. Vandy has scored 9 points or less in 3 of their 5 games this year, and the only times they surpassed that 9-point total came against lowly Rice and Western Carolina teams. Army is no powerhouse, but they are much better than they are getting credit for with this line. The Black Knights are rushing for 231 yards/game this season. Vandy has not stopped the run very well, giving up 160 rushing yards/game so the Black Knights should be able to move the ball on the ground with ease. Vandy is only completing 46.3% of their passes this year, so their strength is certainly their running game. But Army is allowing just 112 rushing yards/game and 3.4 yards/carry. We like the Black Knights catching double-digit points at home here especially when these are two evenly matched teams. Don't be surprised to see an upset here Saturday. Take Army and the points.