[yisman]

Today's Pick: NEBRASKA
Today's pick is a pay premium pick from Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

CFB
Nebraska vs. Missouri
9:00 EST

For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the visitors: Both sides are coming off a bye; the No. 21 Cornhuskers and 24th-ranked Tigers open their conference schedules at Faurot Field on Thursday night. The last time these teams met, Missouri won 52-17 and that embarrassing loss, no matter what Bo Pelini says, is fresh on the minds of the Huskers. Nebraska pretty much crushed its competition in non-conference play defeating Sun Belt Conference foes Florida Atlantic, Arkansas State and Lafayette by a combined 142-12. The Huskers only loss came on Sept 19th vs. the Hokies who scored in the final seconds for a 16-15 victory. The biggest improvement to this team is on the defensive side of the ball; Nebraska is ranked No. 1 nationally in scoring defense, after allowing an average of seven points through four games; in total defense, Nebraska is allowing 285.5 yards per game, which ranks No. 21. In their shutout/blowout victory over the Ragin' Cajuns, the offense had another solid performance with Zac Lee passing for 238 yards and a TD in just more than a half of work, while running back Roy Helu scored twice. Dating back to last season, not only is Nebraska 7-1 SU its last eight, its also a perfect 5-0 ATS its last five. On the other side of the field: Blaine Gabbert has been great in replacing Chase Daniel; the sophomore directs an offense that ranks 15th in FBS in points per game (36.8) and 16th in yards per contest (453.0), although he has yet to face a defense as talented as Nebraska’s. Missouri though has issues with its running game this year; and on the other side of the ball are having troubles with the running game themselves as was apparent in their win over Nevada. The combined record of Missouri’s four opponents this season is 6-12, with Football Championship Subdivision team Furman accounting for three of those victories against its Southern Conference foes. Already 0-1 ATS this year at home, Missouri is in fact a poor 5-6 ATS in front of the home town crowd over the last two seasons overall. Bottom line: I look for talented defensive lineman Ndakmukong Suh to get into Missouri's backfield and rattle Gabbert and think first-year starting QB Lee learned some valuable lessons in his first road game vs. Virginia Tech and expect him to be much more settled and prepared for this one; they are playing great overall ball right now and I look for them to exact revenge from last years blowout as the CORNHUSKERS move to 5-1 ATS their last six on the road! *9* Nebraska -3

[playtime]

thanks, we did it...won