[DaTruth10]

PACKERS Game: Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Game Time: 10/5/2009 8:30:00 PM Prediction: Green Bay Packers Reason: I'm taking the points with GREEN BAY. (10* Main Event) I'm taking the points with GREEN BAY. This line has climbed from its opener and I feel that's provided us with plenty of value with the visiting Packers. As you're probably well aware, this game has some major implications in the suddenly competitive NFC North division. Then, of course, there's the Favre vs. Rodgers and Favre vs. GB story-lines... The betting public has quickly fallen back in love with Favre, forgetting about last year's late-season meltdown with the Jets. Rodgers isn't getting as much attention, but he's still highly capable - arguably even more so. Let's not forget that he threw for more than 4000 yards with 28 touchdowns last season. Both defenses are very capable. The Vikes have slightly better overall stats. However, they've allowed two of three opponents to reach 20 points. The Packers, on the other hand, have held two of three opponents to 17 points or less. Both teams are 2-1 ATS. The Packers are 1-0 ATS on the road though while the Vikes are 0-1 ATS at home. The Packers, 6-1 ATS their last seven 'dome games,' are 10-3 ATS in division games the past two seasons. During the same stretch, the vikes are just 4-8-1 ATS in their divisional games. Looking at last year's meetings and we find that both were close. The Packers won by five points when the teams played at Lambeau - Rodgers' debut as a starter. The game here at Minnesota was even closer, as it was decided by just a single point. Looking back a bit further and we find that the Packers have won five of the last six meetings and that they've gone 4-0 ATS the last four of those. In fact, the Vikings have only beaten the Packers three times since 2005 and all three victories came by a field goal or less. I expect tonight's important game to also come down to the wire and feel that having more than a field goal to work with is generous. *10 main event

[DaTruth10]

UNDER packers/vikes Game: Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Game Time: 10/5/2009 8:30:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on GB and Minnesota to finish UNDER the total. With the Favre vs. Rodgers QB matchup, most are expecting a shootout and that's provided us with a very high total. I believe that its too high. Yes, both teams have seen the 'over' go 2-1 to start the season. However, a closer look reveals that all four of those 'overs' came when these teams played outside the NFC North. Both teams have seen the 'under' go 1-0 when matched up against divisional foes. Many were expecting the Week 1 Packers/Bears (Rodgers vs. Plummer) clash to be high-scoring, as that game had an over/under line which was very similar to this evening's game. I played the 'under' in that one though and the teams combined for only 36 points. The Vikings saw their lone divisional game (Week 2 at Detroit) finish with 40 points. Yes, both quarterbacks are more than capable and its also true that both of them probably are a little extra motivated for tonight's big head to head matchup. That said, I also have a lot of respect for both these defenses and also believe that both those units will be fired up for tonight's big game. Additionally, even though Favre will get all the attention, the Vikes will still be running the ball with regularity. The Vikings are fourth in the league in total defense, allowing just 259.7 yards per game. They're allowing 19 points per game. The Packers are allowing 21 per game. However, they've held two of their three opponents to 17 points or less. The Vikes have seen the UNDER go 19-10-1 the last 30 times that they played a home game with a total ranging from 45.5 to 49 points. I expect those numbers to improve as the shootout many are expecting never materializes and the final combined score stays below the generous number. *9 NFC TOW

[Sclass600]

Thanks alot Ben Burns is the shit!!!!

[Pin Fish]

yeah he is why did the line move so much with only 62% on the Vikings?

[100Dimes]

Oh Man, Can't we all just live and die by Minny tonight lol, WHYYYY Ben!! Hope this is a miss

[Webby]

his totals is always the best

[Numbnuts]

Kaboom!!!!!!!!!!!

[Sclass600]

bad day!!!! Damn!!!!

[PhatBaztard]

I've said this before, but Burns is always going against the majority. Rarely does he lay points. I use to pay for his service, but got sick of always betting the dogs. I would never have picked GB last night? I was on the Vikings just by my own instinct. Come on, Vikes have better QB, undefeated, at home, Monday night, best RB in league....the list goes on. Just saying guys, I think Burns is highly overrated in this forum. Don't just blindly follow these so called "pros."