In maybe the most
anticipated game of the year so far, the Packers travel to Minnesota
on Monday night to take on their former legend, Brett Farve, and
the rival Vikings. Due to the Minnesota hype and perfect 3-0 mark,
you are getting the better team, with the better quarterback, as more
than a field goal underdog.
So far this season, the arguably better team has been an underdog
twice in prime-time football; Week 2 with the Giants over Cowboys
and week 3 with the Colts facing Arizona. Each time that team not
only covered, but won outright.
The Packers have not been intimidated by facing divisional opponents
on the road in the recent past. The Packers are 8-0 ATS (10.8
ppg) since September 24, 2006 on the road vs a divisional opponent
as no more than a TD favorite Also, the Packers are 8-0-1 ATS (10.8
ppg) since November 06, 2000 as a dog when facing a divisional
opponent that has more wins than them
Last week, Green Bay cruised to a 36-17 win over St. Louis, while
attempting only 23 passes. The League is 11-0 ATS (13.3 ppg) since
November 26, 2007 as a dog the week after on the road in which they
attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average
Minnesota been very conservative through the air so far this
year, finally busting out for 301 yards last week. The Vikings are
0-9 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since October 04, 1992 as a favorite when they
passed for at least 100 more yards last week than their season-todate
average Vikings were 7-pt favorites over San Fran last week and are
0-9 ATS (-6.7 ppg) since December 23, 2007 after playing at home
as a favorite
Finally, Minnesota did not have a single goal-to-go against the
49ers last week. The Vikings are 0-7 ATS (-5.6 ppg) as a favorite
after being a favorite the previous week and not having a goal to go
attempt.
The Vikings needed a miracle play to beat the 49ers at home last
week. Green Bay is far superior to San Francisco.
Sports Book Breakers 10-5-09
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