[peeiempee]

4* on Eastern Michigan +6.5(-106 5dimes)

Eastern Michigan should not be catching points at home against Temple. Yes, EMU is 0-3, but they've faced a very tough schedule with road losses to Northwestern and Michigan and a home loss to Army. EMU lost at Temple 52-55 last season, so you can bet they have revenge in mind. They have 17 starters back from that team, and these players have not forgotten that crushing defeat. This team is very hungry for their first win of the season, and this is easily the softest opponent they have faced thus far so they have a great chance to getting it. Temple is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a win by 17 or more points since 1992. The Owls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The Eagles are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in October. Take Eastern Michigan and the points.

4* on Kent State/Baylor O 50(-105 5dimes)

Baylor might just score 50 points on their own this week, but if they don't then Kent State will put up enough points to get the OVER. The Bears scored 68 points last week in a 68-13 home win over Northwestern State. Kent State has given up 34 points each to Boston College and Iowa State in their two losses, two teams not known for having explosive offenses. Baylor is a team known for their deadly offense, as they've put up 38.0 points per game this year. They've also faced two tough defenses in Wake Forest and Connecticut, so that's a pretty impressive average when you factor that in. Kent State is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 9-3 in Golden Flashes last 12 games overall. The OVER is 9-1 in Bears last 10 games as a home favorite. Take the OVER 50 points.

4* on SMU/TCU O 48.5(-105 5dimes)

This is another game where we could see TCU scoring 50 points on their own against this soft SMU defense. But the Mustangs have a great offense of their own, and SMU will put up enough points to get the OVER if TCU cannot get it themselves. The Horned Frogs put up 48 points on SMU last year, so as you can see it's not a problem. SMU is scoring 31.0 points per game and giving up 28.7 points per contest this year. The Mustangs are averaging 326 passing yards and 432 totals yards per game. TCU is scoring 33.3 points per game with 425 totals yards per contest in 2009. They are rushing and throwing for more than 200 yards each for a very balanced attack which is tough to stop. TCU is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992. The OVER is 5-0 in Horned Frogs last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Take the OVER 48.5 points here.

[peeiempee]

5* ESPN 2 "Early" Non-Conference Surefire on Arkansas State +21.5(-108 5dimes)


HUGE LETDOWN SPOT FOR IOWA. After their 21-10 road win at Penn State, the Hawkeyes now find themselves as the No. 13 ranked team in the country with an undefeated record. But with that record comes expectations, the kind that Iowa cannot live up to. The Hawkeyes have been winning games with their defense, in spite of their lackluster offense. Iowa is putting up just 25.0 points per game and 348 yards per contest. Those aren't numbers that indicate they would have any chance to cover this huge three-touchdown spread against a good Arkansas State team. The Red Wolves are averaging 190 rushing yards/game and they return 15 total starters from a team that won six games a year ago. They led Troy 23-10 last week, and faltered down the stretch to lose 27-30. You can bet this team will be very hungry after that crushing loss, especially when facing a Top-25 team which is a chance to put their names on the map. There's no question Iowa will come out flat in this one. The Hawkeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Take Arkansas State and the points.

6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Minnesota -2.5(-110 bookm)


Wisconsin may be 4-0, but they've played all four games at home and they have yet to record an impressive win. They own 8-point wins over Northern Illinois and Michigan State, and also a 3-point overtime win over Fresno State. In their first road game of the season, the Badgers' true colors will show Saturday. Minnesota is now 3-1 with their only loss to Cal, a team they had on the ropes the entire game. The Golden Gophers will be prepared to stop Wisconsin's running game, having faced two of the best rushing teams in the country in Cal and Air Force already. Their defense is giving up 144 rushing yards per game, but only 3.3 yards per carry which is very impressive considering the teams they have faced. The Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog, losing 86% of the time. Wisconsin is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games overall. The Gophers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Minnesota's ability to stop the run will be the key to their victory Saturday. Take Minnesota and lay the points.

[bill2266]

Ty for the plays