[jheat23]

Wednesday's Lineup
15 Dime --- Hawaii-Louisiana Tech OVER

10 Dime --- BREWERS (With Suppan and Hammel as listed pitchers)

HAWAII/LA. TECH OVER --- This is the easiest play on the board. Forget the side, the total should hit by early in the fourth quarter and you can rest easy the rest of the game. To be honest, I think Hawaii could easily win this game SU, but I absolutely don't trust their defense. When I was handicapping this game, I found some early indications as to why the Rainbows would be the right play, but the more I looked at it, I just couldn't offer them as a pick because I didn't believe in their defense. Oh sure, they can score with just about anyone in the country as long as the matchup is right. Well guess what... tonight, the matchup is right. This game is going to be a track meet with the team that holds the ball last likely winning.

Let's look at the Rainbows first. No, I'm not going to look at the offenses... I'm going to look at the LACK of defense played by teams. First off, Hawaii has numerous injury issues on the defensive side of the ball, including LB Aaron Brown. The 'Bows have allowed almost 400 yards per game through three, including 250+ yards through the air and over 125 on the ground. And it's not just the injuries that have plagued this defense... they just aren't that good. You can't rely on them to stop any semblance of an offense and LA. Tech will definitely have the crowd behind them.

But don't think the Bulldogs get off that easy. Through three games for Louisiana Tech, they've allowed over 250 yards on the ground per game, and that plays right into the hands of the Hawaii offense. The Rainbows rush for better than 4 yards per carry and over the course of the game, that's going to add up. Both teams have potent offenses and neither defense can stop anyone... the recipe for an OVER is clearly written on the wall. Play the OVER.


MILWAUKEE BREWERS (list Suppan) over COLORADO (list Hammel) --- Going right back to the Brewers tonight at a great price. You can't tell me you're not concerned about the way the Rockies are playing right now. They're in the fight of their lives in the Wild Card and I watched a team blow a 5-2 lead in the 9th inning and needed some help from the umps (Ianetta clearly went around on what would have been strike three) to get a 7-5 win as he would homer on the very next pitch. No, I'm not here to try and tell you the Brewers are a better team that Colorado or that they will destroy the Rockies tonight, but at this price it's just way too good to pass up. Remember, it was Jason Kendall who nailed the three-run homer in the 9th to send this game to extras. Hart, Fielder and Braun were quiet... and that's not going to continue.

Milwaukee might not have much pitching anymore, but they can hit the crap out of the ball and you know they're chomping at the bit to play spoiler. The Rockies have all the pressure of the world on their shoulders right now while Milwaukee is playing loose, preparing for next year. They'll send veteran Jeff Suppan to the hill who has faced the Rockies 9 times in his career, winning six times and losing just once. Yeah, that's right, Suppan is 6-1 in his career vs. the Rockies with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Jason Hammel counters for Colorado, and although he's beaten the Brewers in his only start against them, his season ERA and overall lack of closing the deal doesn't give me a lot of confidence. Play the Brewers over the Rockies as your bonus play of the day.

[100Dimes]

thanks j

[jheat23]

[PaulieO]

I seriously can't comprehend the logic behind these ass-clown's plays anymore. There were 15 baseball games on the board, and this guy chose the Brewers, who are playing for pride at best, against a team who is fighting to hold on to their playoff spot?! I didn't play the Brewers or anything. I just find it amazing the garbage they are throwing out these days and calling them "picks."

[sdr974]

They like to pick the good ML and pray they win which they don't!