Kansas City +1.65 over NY YANKEES PINNACLE
The only thing that matters to the Yankees right now is being healthy come the start of the playoffs next week. Joe Girardi is resting people every day and other guys are getting pulled early. The Yanks do not care who wins and who loses right now, as they have secured home field throughout and they can’t wait for Sunday. They’ll face a very tough pitcher here in Robinson Tejeda. Tejeda has allowed a sick 39 hits in 68.2 innings. On the road he’s 3-1 with a 2.28 ERA after allowing just 11 hits in 27 frames for a BAA of .121. In those 68 frames he’s thrown this year the opposition has gone yard on him just twice. The Yanks have yet to see him this season and that, too, can’t hurt our chances. Joba Chamberlain goes for the Yanks and he’s hit and miss. He has a very average or unimpressive 4.72 ERA and the bottom line here is that the Royals have a great chance to pick up a win against this uninterested host. Nice value here. Play: Kansas City +1.65 (Risking 2 units).
CINCINNATI –1.04 over St. Louis PINNACLE
The Reds continue to do everything right and remain one of the league’s hottest teams. The Reds have won seven of its past eight and 24 of its past 35 games. Not only are they winning but their bats are feeling it too. In fact, the Reds have scored 10 runs or more in four of its last seven games. Now with everything going their way, Cinci will also have its best pitcher on the mound. Bronson Arroyo has lasted at least seven innings in all 11 starts since the beginning of August, going 4-3 with a 1.99 ERA. He gave up one run and five hits over seven innings in his latest outing, a 4-1 victory at Pittsburgh on Thursday. The guy has been lights out for weeks now. By contrast, the Cards have taken some time off since clinching, posting just one win in five games. The offense is in a funk too, hitting a combined .228 since they wrapped up a post-season birth on Saturday. John Smoltz used to be a guy you could count on but that was then and this is now. The Cardinals have a long history of picking up pitchers off the scrap heap and working wonders with them for a season or two but Smoltz is not a guy you can trust. He hasn’t pitched at this hitter’s park since ’06 and he’s not going to like it. Anyway, we’ll go with hot vs cold at home, laying a very cheap price indeed. Play: Cincinnati –1.04 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).