5 Unit Play. #124 Take Cincinnati +4 ½ over Pittsburgh (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS) Top Play of the Week. The Bengals have looked very impressive thus far in 2009 and should enter this game 2-0, were it not for a fluke play in the opener against Denver. The Steelers are coming off a tough loss in Chicago and will still be without their best defensive player in Troy Polamalu. The Bengals were able to get pressure on QB Aaron Rogers last week and now face a similar QB this week in Big Ben. By similar we mean that he holds the ball for a while in the pocket. I expect this to be a field goal game and getting the points at home is just too good to pass up. QB Palmer makes a statement and this very important game, as neither team wants to drop too far behind the Ravens in the AFC North. This one is played close to the best by both teams. Cincinnati 20, Pittsburgh 17.
4 Unit Play. #106 Take Under 38 ½ in Washington at Detroit (Sunday 1 pm Fox) Top Totals Play. The Lions have not won a game since 2007 and the Redskin Coach is very much on the hot seat. I expect this to be a defensive struggle and thus it sets up a perfect spot for the under. Detroit managed just three second half points last week against Minnesota and with a rookie quarterback they really want to establish a running game. Detroit hired a defensive coordinator in Jim Schwartz as their new head coach and he comes from the Tennessee Titans. The Titans won most of their games with a strong running attack and outstanding defense. This formula sets up great for the under. Washington 20, Detroit 13.
4 Unit Play. #109 Take San Francisco +7 over Minnesota (Sunday 1 pm Fox) This game has gotten a lot more attractive then it appeared to be at the start of the season. Both teams enter this game 2-0, but the 49ers have beaten two solid teams (Arizona & Seattle) and the Vikings have played two of the worst teams in the league (Cleveland & Detroit). The 49ers are following a blueprint for success in the NFL by playing strong defense and controlling the ball with a dominate running attack. RB Frank Gore is right at the top of the list for best in the league behind Adrian Peterson of the Vikings and QB Shaun Hill has played well thus far in the season. QB Favre has yet to throw an interception this year and I think that streak ends today, as Minnesota wins but it comes in a low scoring hard hitting game. Minnesota 23, San Francisco 20.
4 Unit Play. #116 Take St. Louis +6 ½ over Green Bay (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The Packers continue to receive too much respect for playing outstanding during the exhibition season. That being said, they should be 0-2 if it not for QB Cutler giving them the game in Week 1 of the season. Green Bay has no offensive line and LT Clifton is out for this game in the Gateway City. QB Rogers has been sacked a season’s worth of games in the first two and he has not played up to his standards yet this season. The Rams have a decent front four and expect them to be able to get some pressure and force the Packers offense out of their comfort zone. Green Bay should be 0-2 ATS and they do not warrant laying this many points to anybody in the league on the road. Cincinnati beat them straight-up last week and we were on board for that game and history will repeat itself this week. St. Louis 24, Green Bay 23.
Strong opinion plays:
#125 Take Tennessee +3 over NY Jets