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  1. #1
    mp5070's Avatar SBR PRO
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    Default Indian Cowboy 9/25

    4 Unit Play. Take Under 8 between the Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals (Friday @ 7:05pm). The Braves are only 3.5 games out of the wildcard and ceratinly, they can smell the playoff birth. Of course, Bobby is coming back for one more year because he realizes he has an amzing staff in place for next year. After all, the ol' man has brought this team this far during their golden decade plus and the storm is brewing the right time for this squad. With veterans such as Chipper and players coming of age, but more importantly with a staff that is truly fit to be the best top down in the entire league next year. Hudson, Lowe, Hanson, Vasquez, Kawakami - if you have something better, do tell. Top down, this team is going to have a great staff next year. Vasquez has come out of nowhere and re-energized his career in Atlanta and the national league. Javier is has a 2.91 era for the season, is 14-9 and has given up 2 runs in 23 innings. In fact, his last 3 of 5 starts have been shutouts. Heck, he has notched 222 strikeouts this year on top of that. With the Braves close to the playoffs and the simple fact they are the next team behind the Rockies hunting them down, I expect a quality start from Javier today. In the same token, Lannan pitches at home, comes off a 2-3 loss to the Mets and was roughed up by the Braves in early August for a 1-8 loss. I expect him to bounce-back and seek revenge here. The Under is 4-0 for the Braves following an off day, 5-2 when Vasquez starts as a favorite by this margin and 12-3 when Lannan faces fellow NL East foes.

    4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between San Diego @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Friday @ 9:40pm)

    4 Unit Play. Take Over 7 between the Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants Giants (Friday @ 10:15)

    Write-ups to come shortly.

    Good luck,

    IC
    150pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY7th Place 5/25/2012


  2. #2

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    is indian cowboy anygood i always see his picks but never tail him is anyone else on that atlanta under????

  3. #3

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    4 Unit Play. Take Under 182 between the LA Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury (Friday @ 10pm est). I actually think the Sparks have a great shot at winning this game outright. Keep in mind that LA beat Phoenix just recently on the road by a score of 81-78 on the road on September 13th. If you remember, LA was a similar 4.5 dog going into that game and while 75% of the public took Phoenix at home on the short line, they were buried as the Sparks won outright. Same line, same situation today. This is a must win for LA no matter how you dice it and they have to show up here. But, I cannot bring myself to wager against Phoenix at home, but I would rather take the under. LA is a defensive team although it didn't show in their last game against Phoenix giving up over a 100 points. They will have to change that if they hope to have a chance today. And, certainly, in the game they did win at Phoenix about two weeks ago, they did. They held the Mercury to under 80 points. I can see that happening again today in this must win game for the Sparks. The Sparks hold opponents to less than 74 points per game in the regular season. I don't see Phoenix shooting as effectively as they did last game but more importantly, I see the Sparks pounding the ball inside relentlessly as Candace Parker and Lisa Leslie are likely to get the most touches. This is one of the rare games that are likely to go Dog/Under similar to how it went on the 13th of this month. The Under is 6-2 in the Mercury's last 8 games at home.

  4. #4

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    Indian Cowboy - Take 'Over' 59.5 Missouri at Nevada (9 p.m., Friday, Sept. 25)

    I like the over for a couple of simple reasons. For starters, I love to take the over when I believe an Underdog will be "active". I believe with 75% of the public hovering over Missouri, I like Nevada to step up on a primetime weeknight game. Nevada is 0-2 and obviously they are hosting this game on national television on Friday night. They need to step up. They struggled against Notre Dame and Colorado State which were both road games. This is their season home opener. I believe they will give Missouri a good fight here at home and although I don't trust them to necessarily to cover the 7.5, I do like them to exceed expectations and play ‘over’ the total. Nevada also remembers being torched by this team last year 17-69 in Missouri and has revenge based on that token. The ‘over’ is 10-3 for the Tigers on the road of late and the ‘over’ is 4-1 when the Wolfpack host winning teams at home.

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