[peeiempee]

4 Unit Play. Take Over 176.5 between the Phoenix Mercury @ LA Sparks (Wednesday @ 10pm est). Sometimes it is not a good idea for a team to defeat another team just prior to the playoffs. Such is the case as these two heavyweights meet each other in the final four of the wnba playoffs. With that in mind, I expect Phoenix to have some revenge today. Keep in mind that they also lost the first game of the series to San Antonio earlier in these playoffs so they will look to not start off in a big hole. The road team has won outright and covered the spread the last three times these two teams have hooked up and I believe that will likely be the case in the playoffs for covering the spread. But rather than go against the Sparks here, I like taking the over with Phoenix as the active dog. The Over is 16-5 for the Mercury the last 21 ballgames and the Over is 2-0 this year when Phoenix has played LA in Staples.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 146.5 between the Indiana Fever @ Detroit Shock (Wednesday @ 8pm est). These two teams are defensive by nature. Notice the last game in Detroit between these two teams the game totaled at 133 - and that was with overtime. I don't believe that was a fluke by any nature. I sincerely believe that these two teams are defensive mind-framed squads. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. And, given that this is the stepping stone to the WNBA Championships, I like a defensive effort out of the game for both of these teams. I normally would have a much longer write-up, but indeed I believe the principle is that simple today. I expect a quality effort from both teams, the total is slowly starting to drop and I like this game to be a defensive contest similar to the last game these to two teams played in the Palace.
Good luck,
IC

[peeiempee]

4 Unit Play. Take the Under 9 between the Detrioit Tigers @ Cleveland Indians (Wednesday @ 7:05pm). I actually think Cleveland has a solid chance of winning this game as the dog today. I've mentioned about the 70% and -130 or below line. Basically, when a team is favored by a small amount and the public is on that team to a tune of more than 2/3rds, the dog is expected to do well and consequently, the game goes under. Such is the case today as these two teams hook up today. Masterson is expected to have a quality start coming off one of his toughest outings of the year giving up five runs in in four innings. In fact, he has been solid at home giving up just 2 earned runs over his last 3 starts and 18 innings. His last four contests have consequently gone under as well. Porcello comes off a 0-3 loss to the Twins on the road and has done well against the Indians thus far. He has given up just 3 runs in 15 innings against the Tribe. Given that he comes off the loss to the rival Twins, I expect him to have a bounce-back start similar to Masterson and this game consequently to go under the posted total. The Under is 3-0-1 for the Tigers overall down this playoff stretch and the Under is 5-1 for Porcello's last 6 starts against the AL Central - while the Under is 8-2-2 in the Indians last 12 starts against the AL Central.

Good luck,

[shantystar]

gl