Bill Young / Black Widow

6* Colts/Dolphins Monday Night MASSACRE! ***20-1 NFL Run***

Miami +3.5

The Miami Dolphins SHOULD NOT be catching points at home Monday night. Yes, they played terrible in a Week 1 loss at Atlanta. But the Dolphins have played out-of-character dating back to their playoff loss last year against Baltimore. The Dolphins have committed 9 combined turnovers in their last 2 games, after committing only 13 in all of 2008. Look for Miami to get back to playing sound football this week after a sharp week of practice. Indy is a notorious slow starter, and they started 3-4 last year before reeling off nine straight wins to end the season. Their offense put up just 14 points at home against Jacksonville last week, and they were very fortunate to come away with a 14-12 victory. The Colts won't be so fortunate on the road Monday. Miami's defense is stout, giving up just 19 points to Atlanta last week despite the offense turning the ball over four times. The formula is simple for Miami, don't turn the ball over and they win because they have one of the best defenses in the league. The underdog is 8-1 (89%) in the last 9 meetings in this series. The Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record, while the Colts are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite. The Colts are missing Bob Sanders, their defensive stopper. WR Anthony Gonzalez went down with a knee injury against the Jaguars, and that leaves Reggie Wayne as the Colts' only proven target outside. Indy won't be playing up to their capability until they can get healthy, and until then they are VERY susceptible to getting upset. Take Miami and the points. (Take Miami +3 if you can't get in at +4)