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Old 09-20-09, 12:23 PM   #1
peeiempee
 
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Default Dave Busk 9/20

5 Unit Pick #911 Take Chicago Cubs (+1.45) over St. Louis (Sept. 20, 8:05)

Betting against one of baseball best since the all-star break but when you get to take back this type of money is pure value. The Cubs send Carlos Zambrano who is coming off a so-so outing giving up five runs in five innings. This will be his third start vs. St. Louis this year after facing off against Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright back on July 12th where he and the Cubs came out on top in a 7-3 win a (-1.15) home favorite. So the oddsmaker makes a adjustment here which they should with the Cubs playing out the string and the Cardinals clinching the division just a formality. But this is to big of adjustment of 75 cents here, Zambian has been better on the road this year with a 3.03 era in 13 starts and has given up just 26 earned runs in 77 innings in those road starts. Zambian has also pitched well in St. Louis with a 5-1 record and a 0.95 era in nine starts their. I don’t have anything bad to say about Adam Wainwright, he is solid major league pitcher and has been in good form just not good enough to warrant this chalk.

2 Unit Play #918 Take Baltimore (+1.45) over Boston (Sept. 20, 1:35)

Daisuke Matsuzaka gets his second start of the disabled list after pitching great in his first start back vs. the Angels pitching six innings of shutout baseball. Boston is in the clear with the wild card but the odds maker is still pricing them here as a must win when in realty the Red Soxs will keep Matsuzaka on a short lease here. Baltimore has hit him in the past as Matsuzaka has a 4.72 era vs. Baltimore. Not a big bet but it is a bet here against the Sox’s in a game that means nothing to them.
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