Sid Paradise 9/20
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Steelers @ Bears, 4pm Et
The loss of Polamalu will have a much greater impact on the Steelers defense than the loss of Urlacher to the Bears. Now that Cutler has a game under his belt he should play much better this week. The Bears could have still won last week despite the turnovers. The Steelers had one of the worst offensive lines last year giving up the 4th most sacks in the league. Look for the Bears defense to pressure Big Ben, while limiting their already slow running game. With Polamalu out, I see Greg Olsen having a nice day in the middle of the field. Cutler finally arrives as the Bears take down the Super Bowl champs.
Pick- Bears +3 (-110) 4* play
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Ravens @ Chargers, 4pm Et
I feel like the Ravens are being way over valued in this one. They won their opener vs a terrible Chiefs team but scored two TD's late to break a 24-24 tie. Their aging defense could sorely miss Rex Ryan this season. The Chargers didn't look that great either but also got the job done when it mattered. The Ravens have historically not traveled to SD well going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 trips. I think San Diego got the rust out last week and the Chargers will come out ahead in this one. The Chargers also play very well at Qualcomm going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games. The Chargers are the best team in a weak division, while the Ravens might have been the fluke team of last year.
Pick- Chargers -3 (+115) 8* play
Buccaneers @ Bills, 4pm Et
The Bills looked very solid for 58 minutes last week vs NE but fell apart in the end. This is understandable with Tom Brady on the other side of the field. TB is just plain no good this season. They got beat up pretty bad at home last week vs Dallas and now take their show on the road. They have played well in Buffalo but this year the Bills defense will get the best of them. The Bills are not totally sound on offense and will also struggle to score points. They usually win games at home with defense going 4 of their last 6 at home under the number. Today should be the same.
Pick- Under 42 (-110) 2* play
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Saints @ Eagles, 1pm Et
Both teams are coming off big wins but the Eagles suffered greatly, losing QB Donovan McNabb to a rib injury. The line for this one opened at pick'em but has since moved to favor the visiting Saints. People seem to forget that even with McNabb out, Philly's defense is still tough. The Saints usually don't play as well outdoors, especially when traveling to Philly, where they have lost 4 of the last 5. Kevin Kolb is a 3rd year backup and should have no problems running the team vs the Saints defense. Lions rookie Matt Stafford looked decent last week vs this unit so there should be no reason why Kolb can't get the job done. Getting 2 points at home is a gift! Take full advantage!
Pick- Eagles +2 (-110) 6* play
Panthers @ Falcons, 1pm Et
After last weeks embarrassing loss to the Eagles the Panthers will look to bounce back. This line is way too big because of last week and people are still on the Falcons. The Panthers went 12-4 last season and still have one of the best ground games in the league. If it weren't for Jake Delhomme completely imploding they would have been right in it vs the Eagles. Take the 6.5 and thank me and Vegas later!
Pick- Panthers +6.5 (-115) 4* play
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