Indian Cowboy 9/15
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 NY Mets @ Atlanta Braves (Tuesday @ 7pm est). Patrick Misch comes off a tough loss to Florida where he gave up five runs in 6 innings at home in a division game. I expect Misch to pitch much better against another division foe in Atlanta today to redeem himself. Misch had given up just 3 runs in 18 innings prior to that start. Hanson pitched brilliantly in his last start at Houston and gave up 0 runs in 8 innings and yet the Braves still managed to lose the game 1-2. Hanson is 9-3 with a 2.83era this season and he continues to pitch regardless. Hanson has pitched 8 of 9 quality starts coming into this game and I look for Hanson to seek his first win in his last 3 starts. The Under is 5-1 in the Mets last 6 games when the total is set at this margin and the Under is 9-4-1 for the Braves in the last 14 games at home.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 Houston @ Cincinnati Reds (Tuesday @ 7:10pm est). Oswalt had one of his worst performances of his career giving up 6 runs in just 2 innings in his last effort against the Braves. The ace coming into that game had given up just 7 runs in four starts in a total of 26 innings to put the last start in perspective. I expect Roy to bounce-back here on the road against the Reds. In fact, I expect both pitchers to pitch well as Wells comes off a rough start at Coors Field giving up 5 runs in 5 innings. Kip had given up just 2 runs in 12 innings prior to that. The Under is 4-1 for Oswalt when he is a favorite by this margin, the Under is 4-0 in Wells' last 4 starts overall and the Under is 9-2 for the Reds overall.
4 Unit Play. Take the Colorado Rockies -130 over the San Francisco Giants (Tuesday @ 10:15pm est). Ubaldo has come a long way as a starter. He has 13 wins on the year and an era of 3.32. He has put together 10 plus quality starts and I like him here facing San Fran as he fell short to this team the last time he faced them. Ubaldo gave up 2 runs in 7 innings and still fell short to the Giants and I expect him to exact a little bit of revenge today. Ubaldo did not pick up a win in his last start and I look for him to see his 14th win of the year today. Zito comes off a home loss to the Padres as he looks to help the Giants reach the playoffs. Zito has dominated the Rockies of late giving up just 1 run over the last 14.1 innings. But, I expect the Rockies to get to Zito today. They had 8 hits as compared to 3 hits over the last 2 starts by Zito. This time around, I expect them to pick up the win as they look to bounce-back from the beating they took yesterday at the hands of the Giants. The Rockies are 7-0 when Ubaldo is a favorite and the Giants are 11-24 as an Underdog by this margin.
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