For a number of different reasons I feel the value is on the "under" in this situation: I'm expecting the Chargers to set the tone early with the running game as they look to get their star RB involved, however they'll be facing a revamped Raiders defense; the Raiders led 15-0 at halftime the last time San Diego visited Oakland, and they just traded for a top defensive player to shore up the league's worst run defense over those six dreadful seasons. Of course, Richard Seymour hasn't reported yet, which puts his status for Monday's game in doubt, at least for now. The Raiders defense also added veteran end Greg Ellis. Looking back till last year we find that Oakland has seen the total go under the posted number in four of its last six at home and in six of its last nine when playing San Diego. They've had tremendous success against them recently, but San Diego understands it's facing a better Oakland team this year: “I think they’re a team that’s on the up,” LaDanian Tomlinson said. “They’ve added some players. Obviously Richard Seymour being there now, they’re going to be that much tougher. They scare me. We’re going to have to be ready to play.” The Chargers saw the total go under the number in three of their four preseason contests and I'm looking for this trend to continue. When taking all of the above factors into consideration I feel we're getting good value on the UNDER!
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons 9/14
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