[geoffline]

Ben Burns

Play Title **BIG TV BLOWOUT** Burns' ANNIHILATOR! (11-3 L14!)
Play Selected Point Spread: -3.5/106
I'm laying the points with MINNESOTA. I successfully played against the Gophers last week. They won but didn't cover at Syracuse. I feel that result has set them up perfectly here. For starters, it's helped to keep the line lower than it would have been if they had blown out the Orange. Note that the line has also come down from its opener, providing even further value. Perhaps most importantly, the Gophers had to "survive a scare" in their first game. They rallied for an overtime win though and I expect that experience to help them here. Conversely, Air Force absolutely crushed Nicholls State (an FCS or 1-AA team) by a score of 72-0 nothing last week. That type of win may be good for confidence but it doesn't exactly prepare a team for the "real thing." This will be the Gophers first game at TCF Bank Stadium, something they've been waiting a long time for. They're 2-0 SU/ATS their last two games against teams from the Mountain West and I look for them to give the fans a victory, covering the small number along the way. *Annihilator

[geoffline]

Ben Burns Blowout GAME OF THE WEEK!

I'm laying the points with PENN STATE. I successfully played on Syracuse last week. Playing their home opener vs. a team (Minnesota) of similar talent, (or at least in the same ballpark) I thought the Orange would respond positively to the coaching and QB change. They did. In fact, they played a great game and left it all on the field, very nearly winning outright. However, the defense let them down when it mattered and they lost in Overtime. I feel that loss will be "psychologically damaging" to the Orange. Keep in mind that Syracuse has been a terrible team in recent years. Losing a game which they should have won will have the Orange players and fans saying/thinking to themselves: "here we go again..." Now, they have to travel to an extremely difficult venue to face the #7 team in the country. In other words, I'm saying that I think they're ripe to get blown out. The Nittany Lions are certainly capable of delivering a blowout, too. Syracuse fans will recall last year's embarrassing 55-13 loss as the Nittany Lions cruised into the Carrier Dome and administered an absolute beating. The Nittany Lions would run 82 offensive plays and compile 560 yards of offense. The Nittany Lions were also dominant in their opener, as the final score of 31-7 makes it look a lot closer than it really was. That's because the Nittany Lions put it on 'cruise control' in the second half, after scoring 31 in the first half and holding Akron without a first down. While they're not likely to show that type of "mercy" against an opponent from the Big East, the fact that they did last week has helped to keep this week's line from going nuts. Note that even with last week's ATS loss, Penn State is still 4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) the last five times that it was favored in the -21 to -31 range. The Lions have solid advantages on both sides of the ball and they're catching the Orange off an emotional loss. I'm expecting another "blowout." *9* Blowout GOW

[geoffline]

Ben Burns 10* Main Event

I'm taking the points with OHIO STATE. Betting against the Trojans is always a bit "nerve-wracking." However, I believe that this will be the perfect place to do so. Its true that the Trojans rolled in their opener while the Buckeyes were tested in theirs. Those results will have the majority of the betting public backing USC. However, I believe those results will actually work in the Buckeyes' favor. Like everyone else, the Trojans are already reading about how good they are. The Buckeyes, on the other hand, have already had to fight through a close game. That should have helped to keep them extremely motivated all through practice this week - not that they should need any motivation for a visit from USC, a team which destroyed them last season. Despite last year's loss, the Buckeyes are still 8-3 SU/ATS their last 11 against teams from the Pac-10. With the o/u line currently down to 44.5 at most shops, it's also worth noting that Ohio State is 13-7 ATS (17-3 SU) the last 20 times that it played a home game with a total ranging from 42.5 to 45. While USC is always tough at practically every position, I like Tyrelle Pryor at QB better than Matt Barkley, at least at this stage of their careers. Yes, Barkley had a great debut. He's still a true freshman though and this will be a much tougher test. Pryor, a dual threat, has now had plenty of big games in his career. The Buckeyes bring back a relatively experienced defense and they're always tough on that side of the ball. I expect them to force the young USC QB into some mistakes. Including their 1/5 cover vs. Texas, the Buckeyes are 12-8 ATS the last 20 times that they were getting points. This is the first time that they've been able to play the Trojans at the Horseshoe since 1990 and I expect them to make the most of their opportunity, earning at least the cover. *10 Main Event

[southmadejd]

Thank you for these Geoff....the USC game makes me nervous though.

[clownpuncher]

Ben Burns

10* Total of the Week

Purdue / Oregon Over

[midnight777]

thanks

[tbarney]

Burns

Kansas vs. UTEP (NCAAF) - Sep 12, 2009 7:30 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play Title **SIZZLING 11-3 L14 NCAA** Burns Saturday SHOCKER!
Play Selected Point Spread: 12.5/-104
I'm taking the points with UTEP. I believe that the Week 1 results have caused this line to be a little higher than it should be, creating value with the home underdog Miners. Kansas destroyed Northern Colorado. Utep lost by six vs. Buffalo. Despite the setback, there were a few bright spots. The Miners posted 139 rushing yards on a respectable 4.8 yards per attempt. Donald Buckram had 108 of those yards, on 14 carries. The defense was also respectable, holding the Bulls to just 309 total yards. (Utep had 372) QB Trevor Vittatoe didn't have a great game in the opener, going 27-of-45 for 233 yards and 0 TDs. Keep in mind that he threw for 3,274 yards and 33 scores in 2008 though. The Miners are 3-1 ATS the last four times that they were underdogs in the +10.5 to +21 range. Looking back further and we find them at 6-2 ATS the last eight times that they were home underdogs in the +10.5 to +14 range. I expect them to give the Jayhawks to improve on those numbers, giving Kansas a much tougher game than most are expecting. 7*

[tbarney]

this should be all of his cfb plays...just need to get the one mlb play

[clappen]

this should be all of his cfb plays...just need to get the one mlb play

post it here if you get it!

[jcygts6]

thanks