[peeiempee]

9-1 MLB Run & 6 of 7 winning days. 6-1 in mlb this week. Let's keep it going:

4 Unit Play. #952. Take the Chicago Cubs -1.5 (No run-line value given yet, when it is up, I will update) over the Cincinnati Reds (Friday @ 2:20pm). Lehr comes off back to back wins and he is in prime spot for a let down here. Despite giving up 9 runs over his last two starts Justin has managed to pick up back to back wins. He is not in overly sharp form right now and I believe the Cubs are just waiting for him with open arms right now. The last time Lehr faced the Cubs he pitched a complete game four hit shutout. Now that the Cubs have had nine solid innings to look at his stuff, I expect the hitters to have an edge here. On top of that, the last time Harden pitched against the Reds on the road he picked up the loss as the Cubs lost 0-4. I look for Harden and the Cubs to get their revenge at home today as they likely cover the run-line. The Reds are 0-4 in their last four road games and the Cubs are 10-2 as large favorites by this margin of late.

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between the New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies (Friday @ 7:05pm est). Do not underestimate Figueroa as he is able to put up some solid starts on the road. This veteran born in 1974 in Brooklyn New York went seven innings and gave up just one run to the Cubs on the road en route to a 4-1 win. He then faced the Cubs in the next game as well and fell short 3-5 which is expected given that it is very tough to defeat a team in back to back starts. I look for Figueora to have a solid start today but in the same token I expect Hamels to have a good bounce-back effort as well. Cole gave up four runs in six innings in a tough loss to the Astros in his last effort. Prior to that start, Hamels had given up no runs in seventeen innings. In fact, he went on that streak after he had given up four runs in the previous start - similar to the situation he is in today. The Under is 5-1 in Figueora's last six starts against a team with a winning record and the Under is 5-0 for Hamels when the total is set at this range.

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8 between the Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals (Friday @ 8:15pm est). Despite Jair pitching well, he is still falling short of picking up wins. I look for him to continue to seek those wins and produce one quality start after another. The young man who was born in 86' still has a 2.93 era this year as it is sub 3 which has to make the organization very pleased. I look for yet another quality start as Jair comes off back to back losses despite both of them being solid starts. Pineiro comes off a no-decision at Pittsburgh but did not pitch well to his expectations. The Cards ended up losing the game 5-6 and I suspect Pineiro puts together a strong effort today coming off that start. The Under is 7-1 when the total is set at this range for Pineiro.

Good luck,

IC