[mp5070]

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Colorado @ Toledo +4(-110)/54, 9pm Et
Both teams opened the season with a loss so both will be that much hungrier for a win. In some ways, these two teams paralleled each other last year. They both had trouble on offense, while relying on their defense to get them the few wins that they did get. Both should struggle on offense in this one as well. Toledo passed for over 400 yards vs Purdue last week but they were in pass only mode most of the game. Colorado led the Big 12 in pass defense last season and has most of its secondary returning. Colorado has inexperience in the passing game and should also struggle vs a veteran Toledo secondary. The main concern for the Rockets is there run defense, which gave up 315 yards on 39 carries (8.1 per). A little of this is miss leading because they gave up TD runs in the 1st quarter of 78 and 43. Take out those runs and it looks much more respectable at 5.2 per rush and they happened in the first quarter so they were able to tighten up on the big plays after that. Purdue returned 4 guys to their offensive line and had their focus on the ground attack we should give Toledo's run D a small break. Colorado despite returning 4 starters of their own only ran for 29 yards last week so after a week of tightening the holes the Toledo run D should be much better. Defense and sloppy play will rule this one, at least to the point that I like the Under 54. Both teams have been hitting Unders of late, Colorado 4 of their last 6 road games and Toledo 4 of their last 5 home games. Colorado went 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS to close out last season on the road and Toledo has historically played well at home, especially as the under dog vs bigger conferences. Gotta like the classic dog and the under trick.


Pick- Toledo +4 (-110) 4* play
Pick- UNDER 54 (-105) 2* play