[G-men]

Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between the Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles (Friday @ 7:05pm). I have a belief in what I call the 70% and -130 line. What that means essentially is in games in which the public is on a team to a tune of 70%, and the line still remains -130 or less, Vegas expects the dog to do well in the game. In this case, the Orioles. Typically this means the pitcher who is the dog is expected to pitch well and compete in the contest. Feldman is a solid pitcher as he is 5-0 with a 2.89 era in August and he is 2-0 with a 3.93 era in six starts vs. the Os. But, Tillman, one of the Orioles top pitching prospects is coming into this own in the Majors. After a bit of a rough start, he is beginning to settle in. He has pitched five straight quality starts and his last three have gone under consequently. I expect this game to be a pitcher's battle as both pitchers are likely to keep the opposing offenses at bay. I rode this under in a similar fashion with the Dbacks/Dodgers earlier in one of the few wins recently and it panned out so I am doing it again here. Otherwise, we will stick to sides as it has worked better for us prior to this rut we are currently in baseball.

Good luck,

IC

[G-men]

Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. # 177. Take Louisiana Tech +13.5 over Auburn (Saturday @ 7pm est). I know that Auburn is looking to rebuild from last year's disappointment - but I expect them to struggle in this game. The Tigers were a dismal 2-9 ATS last year. I just don’t see the Tigers magically improving this year. After all, there are still questions regarding the quarterback situation of this team as both Burns and Todd have their faults. First year coach Malzahn has a lot of pressure to produce results as if the Tigers are willing to get rid of a coach who went 75-27, certainly, they will can the new guy if he has subpart performance early. Louisiana Tech returns quite a bit of starters from last year and this team moved the ball well last year. In fact, La Tech should be able to move the ball very effectively as this team is familiar with the system they run as compared to Auburn who is trying to get used Malzahn's way of doing things. I expect La Tech to be in sync earlier in the game and consequently to fall within the spread and even have a shot at winning this game outright.



4 Unit Play. # 156. Take Oklahoma State -5 over Georgia (Saturday @ 3:30pm est). I just don't buy into the University of Georgia - yet. With a new quarterback and running attack, this team will find it tough in Oklahoma State. OSU is extremely well coached and this is a big game for their program. By handling the Bulldogs, this team can pave the way for what looks to be a very promising season. This team had a tough loss against Oregon in their last contest that they would like to forget and certainly this team has wonderful new facilities at their disposal. Heck, when Boone Pickens throws money down on your school, he expects a return. The Cowboys ended last season 6-0 ATS as a home favorite and are 15-6-1 ATS as favorites by this margin. I'm a fan of Coach Mark, but I just don't see his team being in sync this early on as I feel like they simply have too many holes to fill.


XNFL

1 Unit Play. #137. Take Houston Texans +3 against the Tampa Bay Bucs (Friday @ 7pm est). I cannot believe the Bucs are likely to start the bum known as Byron Leftwich. The guy is a has been and this team actually thinks he has talent. Good luck and good riddance. Houston is extremely well coached and usually and I expect their coaching staff to have this team ready to go as they come off back to back losses to New Orleans and Minnesota. Schaub and Orlovsky have looked this good preseason thus far and with a steady dose of Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels while Steve Slaton and Chris Brown run the ball, I believe the Texans have a likely shot at winning this game outright.


Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.