[tinfw17]

Dave Malinsky Top of the Ticket - Side

San Francisco Giants (Zito)-105 over MILWAUKEE BREWERS (Suppan)

4* #911 SAN FRANCISCO over MILWAUKEE

The last time Barry Zito took the mound we cashed a 6* ticket behind him, noting that the markets had not caught up with a run that now sees him at 4-2/1.92 since the All Star break. Now we again have a game that is not priced properly, with Zito not only under-valued, but with Jeff Suppan?s awful form not being recognized for what it is. Suppan began to fall off the table late last season, with an 0-3/8.44 September a sign that the best of his career was behind him, and in going 6-8/5.20 so far this season he does not show the stuff to stay in a Major League rotation, especially with only strikeouts in 124.2 innings, to go along with 61 walks. But in terms of current form the clouds are even darker. After a stint on the DL he was sent to the Minors for a couple of rehab starts, and they were awful ? he allowed nine runs on 13 hits over seven innings, not showing anything either time. Yet he was called back up anyway, and had the great luck of the draw to get home games against feeble Pittsburgh and Cincinnati offenses. But there is still nothing there. He may have sported a 1-0/4.35 for those two games but take a closer look ? he allowed 17 hits in 10.1 innings, with a horrific ratio of eight walks vs. only one strikeout. To turn a 2.42 WHIP into a 4.35 allowance is pure sleight of hand, but it is also something that you can get away with against weak competition, and in truth the level of competition faced by Suppan all season has been awful ? of the 112 pitchers that have worked at least 112 innings, his difficulty of batters faced is #106. To sport a 5.20 ERA against that class speaks volumes for just how little he has left in the tank.

[joey]

anyone seen his 6* total hes 45% on totals

[G-men]

Why don't you give it to these guys Dave?

Dave or shill, shill or Dave???????????

Get lost!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[joey]

anyone seen his 6* total hes 45% on totals

Why Yes I Have its

Phily/Houston Under 7.5

[joey]

6* #909 PHILADELPHIA/HOUSTON Under

After starting the Phillie portion of his career in brilliant fashion
Cliff Lee had a hiccup against Atlanta in his last outing, but there
was actually nothing wrong with this command ? he did not walk a
batter while striking out five, taking that count to a sparkling 44-6
since coming to the National League. Now he can get right back on
track against a Houston lineup that lacks experience against him
(five of the eight Astro position starters will be getting their
first look), and that turns this into an intense pitcher?s duel from
the very beginning.

While what Lee has done has been visible to the markets, the recent
work of Wandy Rodriguez has not. In recent years he has truly adopted
this mound as his ?home< working to an 18-10/2.57 count the past
three seasons, but the current run is simply brilliant ? in four
starts here since July 1st he has worked to a 4-0/0.58, with 26
strikeouts vs. only 18 hits allowed. In nine of his last 11 outings
either home or away he has allowed one run or none, but there was
that eight-run inning at Milwaukee during this stretch that keeps his
overall ERA at a different level in the eyes of the markets. We can
call on him to be every bit as dominating as Lee here as he also gets
the advantage of the Phillies lacking knowledge of his stuff ? no
Philadelphia batter has more than five career at-bats against him,
and in holding left-handers to a .190 tune this season, with only two
home runs, he particularly causes problems for Chase Utley, Ryan
Howard and Raul Ibanez in the middle of that order.

The latter stages are also in good hands here ? neither bullpen
carries a fatigue rating, and the Astros are buoyed by having Wesley
Wright and Doug Brocail back off of the DL. That makes this a tense
affair throughout, with scoring opportunities few and far between.



4* #911 SAN FRANCISCO over MILWAUKEE

The last time Barry Zito took the mound we cashed a 6* ticket behind
him, noting that the markets had not caught up with a run that now
sees him at 4-2/1.92 since the All Star break. Now we again have a
game that is not priced properly, with Zito not only under-valued,
but with Jeff Suppan?s awful form not being recognized for what it is.

Suppan began to fall off the table late last season, with an 0-3/8.44
September a sign that the best of his career was behind him, and in
going 6-8/5.20 so far this season he does not show the stuff to stay
in a Major League rotation, especially with only strikeouts in 124.2
innings, to go along with 61 walks. But in terms of current form the
clouds are even darker. After a stint on the DL he was sent to the
Minors for a couple of rehab starts, and they were awful ? he allowed
nine runs on 13 hits over seven innings, not showing anything either
time. Yet he was called back up anyway, and had the great luck of the
draw to get home games against feeble Pittsburgh and Cincinnati
offenses. But there is still nothing there. He may have sported a
1-0/4.35 for those two games but take a closer look ? he allowed 17
hits in 10.1 innings, with a horrific ratio of eight walks vs. only
one strikeout. To turn a 2.42 WHIP into a 4.35 allowance is pure
sleight of hand, but it is also something that you can get away with
against weak competition, and in truth the level of competition faced
by Suppan all season has been awful ? of the 112 pitchers that have
worked at least 112 innings, his difficulty of batters faced is #106.
To sport a 5.20 ERA against that class speaks volumes for just how
little he has left in the tank.