I know it's never a popular selection to play the under at Coors Field, but bear with me. Given my notoriety to pounce on a great under spot when I see one and my willingness to support pitching duels in early day games, I think this game falls right into both of those categories. Today, we get to take advantage of a pitcher that has seen nothing but great success dealing in his home ballpark going up against a depleted offense that couldn't hit water if they fell out of a boat. So why isn't the Rockies runline the play again? Well, because me thinks we're going to see quite a lot of zeros on both sides when all is said and done.
Jason Marquis (14-9, 3.60) gets the call for Colorado today on what I believe will be a slow offensive day at the ballpark given the nature of day games and because the shitty hitting of the Mets will likely rub off on the Rockies as it has the best two games. Marquis has been solid at home his last five starts compiling a 2-2 record and an impressive 2.57 ERA over that span. And today he faces a Mets offense that has scored only five times this series and has plated only 15 runs its last 5 games. New York's lineup is absolutely pathetic and even if David Wright suits up, he has absolutely no support because guys like Daniel Murphy and Fernando Tatis have been hitting fourth and fifth respectively. Yikes. The extremely reserve-laden lineup takes another step back Thursday with catcher Josh Thole making his Major League debut. I'd be shocked if the Mets scored more than three runs today, which takes us to the Colorado lineup...
Believe it or not, the Rockies have surprisingly been involved in quite a lot of low scoring affairs their past few homestands. The under has cashed in five of the last seven games at Coors Field and only one of those contests saw more than 10 combined runs. Don't forget, just last night, Colorado scored only two runs off of Tim "Cy" Redding and that was three trips through the heart of the lineup. Pat Misch (0-1, 3.41) starts for New York and he's coming off an impressive outing against the Cubs, one that saw him throw seven innings of one-run ball. I love Misch's chances tonight against a heavy left-handed lineup as the southpaw will have great chances to neutralize some of the best Colorado hitters (Helton, Gonzalez, Hawpe, Smith). This one has all the makings of a slow 4-3 finish which is why I'm staying away from the Colorado runline.
Sam clayton 9/3
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