4 Unit Play. Take Under 10 between NY Mets @ Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 3:10pm est). Misch has been solid in his starts this season but the Mets just haven't been able to get him a victory. Despite giving up just 1 run in his last 11 innings and having a mid 3 era, Misch is one of just two pitchers in baseball history to go through twelve starts without picking up a win. I like the fact he is continuing to search for his first win. Heck, he went four innings against the Phillies without yielding a run and did very well against the Cubs. Tack that on with the fact Maquis is on a bounce-back today as he yielded five runs in San Fran as he comes off a loss and I look for him to be sharp as well. The last time he yielded five runs, he came back to pitch brilliantly and gave up just one run in seven innings to the Pirates. But, with Misch pitching very well right now, I would rather take the Under here rather than the run-line, although I do think the Rockies likely hit the run-line. I like the double-digit number here and I look for this game to likely dip under.
Good luck,
6 Unit Play. # 128. Take NC State -5 over South Carolina (Thursday @ 7pm est). NC State was a team that came a long way at the end of last year. This team started off the season rough by getting spanked to South Carolina 0-34 on August 28th of last year. It was their first game of the season and undoubtedly this team still has sour memories of that contest. NC State has come a long way since the beginning of last season including going 9-1 ATS over their last 10 ten games. Heck, this team took Rutgers to the limit when Rutgers was finishing the season strong and lost 23-29. This team led that game 17-6 at the break before Rutgers had to make a huge comeback just to win the contest. O'Brien has done a great job of coaching this team and I believe this team will pick up right where they left off. O'Brien can coach a little league team to victory as his coaching style is solid and his players have bought into. This team went into UNC last year and won 41-10 covering outright as 11 point underdogs. This team lost to Maryland by just a field goal on the road and once again, closed the year defeating Miami 38-28, UNC 41-10, Wake Forrest 21-17 and Duke 27-17 on the road. With South Carolina still having uncertainties at quarterback, I like NC State to make a quick statement on national television right out of the gates here. Revenge can be sweet especially for a team that was not in sync at the beginning of last year, but came into sync at the end of last year.
4 Unit Play. # 177. Take Louisiana Tech +13.5 over Auburn (Saturday @ 7pm est). I know that Auburn is looking to rebuild from last year's disappointment - but I expect them to struggle in this game. The Tigers were a dismal 2-9 ATS last year. I just don’t see the Tigers magically improving this year. After all, there are still questions regarding the quarterback situation of this team as both Burns and Todd have their faults. First year coach Malzahn has a lot of pressure to produce results as if the Tigers are willing to get rid of a coach who went 75-27, certainly, they will can the new guy if he has subpart performance early. Louisiana Tech returns quite a bit of starters from last year and this team moved the ball well last year. In fact, La Tech should be able to move the ball very effectively as this team is familiar with the system they run as compared to Auburn who is trying to get used Malzahn's way of doing things. I expect La Tech to be in sync earlier in the game and consequently to fall within the spread and even have a shot at winning this game outright.
4 Unit Play. # 156. Take Oklahoma State -5 over Georgia (Saturday @ 3:30pm est). I just don't buy into the University of Georgia - yet. With a new quarterback and running attack, this team will find it tough in Oklahoma State. OSU is extremely well coached and this is a big game for their program. By handling the Bulldogs, this team can pave the way for what looks to be a very promising season. This team had a tough loss against Oregon in their last contest that they would like to forget and certainly this team has wonderful new facilities at their disposal. Heck, when Boone Pickens throws money down on your school, he expects a return. The Cowboys ended last season 6-0 ATS as a home favorite and are 15-6-1 ATS as favorites by this margin. I'm a fan of Coach Mark, but I just don't see his team being in sync this early on as I feel like they simply have too many holes to fill.
1 Unit Play. Baltimore vs. Atlanta Over 38 (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). If you saw Chris Redman close out last week’s game, you would have thought this team had won the Super Bowl as they defeated San Diego 27-24. With a nice mix of young and veteran receivers, the Falcons are doing very well as it relates to the flow of their offense scoring 26 points against Detroit, 20 on the road at St. Louis and most recently 24 points against San Diego. I expect Baltimore to continue their winning ways this preseason as they are 3-0 currently and for them to be an active dog likely sending this game over the posted total. I expect this game to have a regular season type atmosphere similar to the San Diego game which went over near the end of the contest.
1 Unit Play. Oakland vs. Seattle Over 36 (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). Oakland has suprisingly put up some points this offseason. This team put up 31 points against the Cowboys at home, 20 points against San Fran losing by 1 point and come off getting spanked at the hands of the Saints 7-45 at home. I suspect this team will have some pride despite this game being a preseason contest as this team looks to head into the regular season on a positive note. Mora's team has done well early on as he has complete control of the reins this year. This team has won all of its preseason games and certainly with two experienced quarterbacks at his disposal the offense has a nice sync to it. I expect Seattle to put up some points on the porous defense of Oakland and Oakland to keep relative pace as this game likely goes over 40 points.
1 Unit Play. #137. Take Houston Texans +3 against the Tampa Bay Bucs (Friday @ 7pm est). I cannot believe the Bucs are likely to start the bum known as Byron Leftwich. The guy is a has been and this team actually thinks he has talent. Good luck and good riddance. Houston is extremely well coached and usually and I expect their coaching staff to have this team ready to go as they come off back to back losses to New Orleans and Minnesota. Schaub and Orlovsky have looked this good preseason thus far and with a steady dose of Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels while Steve Slaton and Chris Brown run the ball, I believe the Texans have a likely shot at winning this game outright.
Indian Cowboy 9/3
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