[Hybris]

Game: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (12:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Cincinnati -130 (moneyline)

The Pirates have really mailed it in, especially on the road. They have dropped all six games on their current road trip and last night's game was essentially over in the 1st inning when Cincinnati scored four runs. It runs their road total to a 1-15 mark over their last 16. If that isn't bad enough, try 4-27 over their last 31 road games, a complete meltdown and no-show. They have their ace on the mound today in Zach Duke, but it has meant little to the results of their games. The Pirates are just 2-9 in his last 11 starts. They are also now just 1-10 in his last 11 road starts. Homer Bailey has pitched much better for the Reds as he has an ERA of under three in his last three starts and has allowed just a single run in his last two. I will go with the Reds in this one.