Dave Busk

7 Unit Pick #909 Take Atlanta (+1.70) over Philadelphia (August 29, 7:05)

Since coming to the Phillies is a deadline deal Cliff Lee has given up just six runs in 40 innings over five starts, the result of his performance is high lines like this vs. a good pitcher like Derek Lowe. We get Lowe here off two shaky starts, before his last two starts he was 5-0 with a 2.91 era over seven starts. Lowe has been outstanding vs. Philadelphia with a 5-0 record and a 2.24 era in his last eight starts that includes a 3-0 mark with a 1.61 era at Citizens Bank Park. I can’t pass up on this high price with Lowe success against Philadelphia, in fact I ’am making my biggest bet of the year on this value.

4 Units Take Over (9.5) Washington at St. Louis (August 29, 7:05)

This two teams played to a 3-2 Cardinals comeback win last night, I don’t think tonight will play as low scoring tonight with Graig Stammen and Mitchell Boggs on the hill. Both pitchers only give you about five to six innings, both are more of a contact pitcher that gives up a lot of hits. With these two pitchers combined this year they have given up 157 hits in 136 innings this year. Boggs has had some problems with walks, walking 22 in 35 innings pitch this year along with walking five twice in his last five starts. We have the wind blowing out tonight and I think we will have some scoring tonight.

2 Unit Pick #919 Take Tampa Bay (-1.35) over Detroit (August 29. 4:05)

The Rays have dealt Scott Kazmir to the Angels and you would think that is a sign that they’re giving up on the season. I don’t think so, the Rays are deep in pitching and I think we have a huge edge on the mound today with young gun David Price on the mound. David Price hasn’t been as good on the road then at home but I do think he can have a good outing today vs. the Tigers. The real problem for the Tigers today is their starter Nate Robertson, he has made just five rehab starts after two months on the disabled list Before he went on the disabled list he wasn’t even starting, no doubt will be on a low pitch count here and we will be into that bullpen.

1 Unit Pick #266 Take Cleveland (pick) over Tennessee (August 29, 7:30)

The Titans head to Cleveland playing their fourth game of the preseason after getting drilled in Dallas last week 30-10 while the Browns look to wrap up their finale preseason home game. From what I gather the Browns are taking a serious approach to this game and have the edge in the quarterback department with Anderson and Quinn. With the Titans playing five preseason games this year instead of four I don’t see them taking this as a tune up to the regular season instead of a game to works on some things and stay away from the injuries. This Titans team is set for the regular season while Browns head coach Eric Mangini is still trying to put his finger prints on this club, good chance here vs. a big name team.

1 Unit Pick #270 Carolina (-3) Over Baltimore (August 29, 8)

I really like this play as we get a great situation here with Baltimore coming off a tight win at home vs. the New York Jets and former defensive coordinator and now the Jets head coach ran his mouth about that Mondays game was not just another preseason game. Naturally the Ravens got up for the game and while I don’t think they played good I could see a let down here in Carolina. The Panthers coming off a 27-17 loss down in Miami should be ready to play their final home preseason game before the regular season kicks off in a couple of weeks. Handicapping the preseason is not rocket science, its more knowing depth and what teams are going to play and I think we’re on the right side of both here.

Thanks and Good Luck-Dave