Hamilton Tiger Cats at Edmonton Eskimos (-7.5, 53)
The Tiger Cats could match their highest victory total of the last five years with a win in Edmonton - and they still will have 10 games to play this season. Hamilton has improved, no doubt about it, but they still have many issues to resolve and that starts at the QB position. Quinton Porter is the starter but has he been replaced three times already during the course of a game by veteran Kevin Glenn. In order to win consistently, the Tiger Cats need better performances from Porter.
The Eskimos are one of the rare teams in the CFL this year where there’s no doubt about the identity of the starting QB. Ricky Ray is currently the third-best QB in the league, stats wise, behind Anthony Calvillo and Henry Burris. He can also count on two excellent receivers in Fred Stamps and Maurice Mann, while running back Arkee Whitlock has established himself as a threat on the ground after a rocky start in the CFL.
But the TiCats have allowed the second-fewest points per game and they are the best when it comes to avoiding turnovers with only 14 giveaways. I still think Edmonton will win this one at home but it won’t be a walk in the park for the Eskimos.
HAMILTON (4 - 3) at EDMONTON (4 - 3) - 8/29/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
All four CFL teams playing this weekend had last week off......
Saturday, August 29
Hamilton (4-3) @ Edmonton (4-3)-- Eskimos (-1) lost 28-21 to TiCats in Hamilton three weeks ago, their only loss in last four games. losing a 18-14 halftime lead, with a turnover margin of -3. Edmonton has a -14 turnover ratio this year, and hasn't picked off a pass yet (16 GA, 2 TA). TiCats won four of last six games (5-1 vs spread); underdogs covered the last six Hamilton games. TiCats won last three home games by 12-12-7 points, since losing home opener to Toronto.
7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. EDMONTON
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Hamilton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Game 443-444: Hamilton at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 108.289; Edmonton 113.722
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 5 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+7); Under
Canadian Bacon 8/29
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