Top pick: #2 (SIRENIAN) - Improvement is noted in her latest as she stayed close to the pace and finished evenly. Daughter of "Came Home" has a nice work on August 15 and she can upset this group at a square price.
2nd pick: #4 (White Stiletto) - Logical selection and probable favorite just missed last in a strong try. Filly raced just off the lead, bid to the front and was "nipped" on the wire. Would be no surprise.
3rd pick: #3 (Interest Me) - Speedster was beaten as a heavy favorite in her Delaware debut after being involved in a pace battle. Should clear off here and that could make her tough.
4th pick: #5 (No Means Yes) - The top three are better suited for the win and this veteran maiden could fill out the tri or super.
Pick: 5 units on Colorado -170 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 2.9)
The Colorado Rockies have put together one of the longest and quietest positive runs in baseball this season. For what has amounted to a half-season of games, (their last 70 played), the Rockies have been the top team in baseball with a 48-22 mark! The Giants have surprised as well, behind their two ace pitchers in Lincecum and Cain, and a home record that is 39-20. That has kept them in the race all season, but the difference between this team is home and away. At home, they are stellar, winning 66.1% of their games. On the road, they are lacking, finding the win column in just 43.1% of their games. That differential is huge - 23% on the negative side. Barry Zito has not paid the kind of dividends for the Giants they had hoped for since coming over as a free agent from the A's. This season he has a 5.13 ERA against winning teams when pitching on the road. The Giants are just 32-65 on the road in their last 97 against a team with a winning record. The Rockies are torching lefthand pitching at home as they are 10-1 in their last 11. The Giants are just 1-4 in their last five played here, so the Rockies get the call.
Game: San Francisco at Colorado (8:45 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Colorado -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)
The Colorado Rockies aren't just winning with a 48-22 mark in their last 70 games, they are winning big. In the last 18 times the Rockies have won, they have won by two runs or more and they are now 22-4 in their last 26 wins by a margin of two or more! They have been great against lefthand pitching, where they are 10-1 in their last 11 at home. In their last seven, the Rockies have scored 10+ runs in four of them. The winning total has been 81-38 in the 11 games, or 7.4-3.4, a winning margin of four runs per game! I will back the Rockies on the runline here.
Wunderdog 8/24
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