[BettorBob]

Picks:
1* Reds

I've been thinking about increasing the requirements for a play to be considered as part of the consensus. Right now, a play is considered if the capper has more than 20 picks and a positive ROI. But I've always thought about requiring an ROI of at least, say, +10%. This would eliminate the guys who are just barely in profit, and maybe just lucky. Of course, this also limits the number of plays. But the new set of plays is 7-2-1, +7.70 units, +32.08% ROI:

+---------------------+-----------------------+-----------------------+----------------+------+-------+-----------+
| time                | away_team             | home_team             | pick           | odds | units | net_units |
+---------------------+-----------------------+-----------------------+----------------+------+-------+-----------+
| 2009-08-09 13:35:00 | Arizona Diamondbacks  | Washington Nationals  | Home Moneyline | -101 |     1 |      1.00 | 
| 2009-08-09 13:35:00 | Arizona Diamondbacks  | Washington Nationals  | Home Spread    | -160 |     1 |      1.00 | 
| 2009-08-10 21:40:00 | New York Mets         | Arizona Diamondbacks  | Over           | -105 |     3 |      3.00 | 
| 2009-08-11 20:40:00 | Pittsburgh Pirates    | Colorado Rockies      | Under          |  100 |     3 |      0.00 | 
| 2009-08-12 20:05:00 | Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs          | Over           | -115 |     2 |      2.00 | 
| 2009-08-13 15:10:00 | Pittsburgh Pirates    | Colorado Rockies      | Home Moneyline | -220 |     1 |      1.00 | 
| 2009-08-14 19:10:00 | Colorado Rockies      | Florida Marlins       | Away Spread    | -145 |     2 |      2.00 | 
| 2009-08-15 16:10:00 | San Francisco Giants  | New York Mets         | Under          |  100 |     4 |     -4.00 | 
| 2009-08-15 19:05:00 | Houston Astros        | Milwaukee Brewers     | Under          | -120 |     4 |      4.00 | 
| 2009-08-18 19:05:00 | Arizona Diamondbacks  | Philadelphia Phillies | Over           | -115 |     2 |     -2.30 | 
+---------------------+-----------------------+-----------------------+----------------+------+-------+-----------+

(The Pirates/Rockies push has always been there, but I used to just cut out the games that were postponed or pushed.)

I'm still allowing any capper with a positive ROI and more than 10 picks to cancel out an existing play if they're on the other side of it.

This consensus system is still in testing, obviously, but I hope to have it finalized by the start of the regular NFL season. If I can find a good source of historical MLB data, I can backtest these stats all the way to the start of baseball season and have a much better idea of how well it performs over time. Does anyone know where I can get historical MLB odds (moneylines, totals and runlines) for every game? My assumption is, the longer it goes, the better it does, since after a while you'll be left with only the cappers who are profitable long-term.

Incidentally, tonight's Reds play is exactly the same on the new system and the old system.

[BlueJays]

I am on CIN as well. but with a small amount! GL!

[n1co35]

hope the new system will be better