We were 1-1 yesterday with a profit of 1.88 units. That makes 6-4 since Friday with a profit of 9.65 units. We have 2 plays today.
1) Florida Marlins vs Houston Astros
Pick: Florida (4 units)
The Marlins are 4 games behind the Rockies in the race for the NL Wildcard. This is a game they absolutely cannot afford to lose. This one is definitely going to be an elite pitching affair featuring Josh Johnson (12-2, 2.85) and Wandy Rodriguez (11-7, 3.05). The Marlins have the advantage in this pitching matchup because Johnson appears to be on top of his game going 2-0 in his last 2 starts allowing only 5 hits and 2 earned runs and striking out 17, against the Phillies and the Rockies, two of the hottest teams in baseball. The Marlins are an impressive 22-4 in Johnson’s last 26 starts following a Quality appearance. Rodriguez on the other hand has struggled as of late with an ERA of 6.60 in his last 3 starts. The Marlins are hot going 8-3 in their last overall. The Astros have not won back to back games in the same series since July 21.
Lay 4 units on the Marlins.
2) Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers
Pick: Texas -1.5 (3 units)
The combination of yesterday’s loss and Boston’s win puts the Rangers 1 game behind the Red Sox in the AL wildcard race. That means that Texas must absolutely win the series closer at home tonight versus Minnesota. After winning the first game of this 4 game series, the Rangers have dropped the last two. Fortunately for them the Twins have not won 3 consecutive games on the road versus the same opponent this season. Additionally, the Rangers have a substantial pitching advantage. Derek Holland (6-7, 4.88) faces Anthony Swarzak (3-6, 5.87). Swarzak has pitched a total of 8 innings in his last 3 starts where he surrendered 25 hits and 16 runs. Playing the runline is a wise investment since the Rangers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home wins as a favorite.
Lay 3 units on Texas runline.
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