[G-men]

KELSO STURGEON

Thursday, August 20, 2009

10 Units

Eagles (-3) over Colts

8:00 PM -- Lucas Oil Stadium
Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) -3 over INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (0-1) Prediction: Eagles by 10-13 Starting Time: 8:00 TV: FOX Comments: This is the ultimate situation play in the NFL pre-season. For openers, Philadelphia coach Andy Reid has said he will play his starting units for the entire first half and that should spell big trouble for an Indianapolis team that has so many new players at so many positions they hardly know one another’s names. The Colts have new receivers, two new offensive linemen, other offensive linemen playing new positions and a new coach. There was a reason starting quarterback Peyton Manning was sacked three times on the six downs he played last week in a 13-3 loss to Minnesota last week. Manning will play a bit more tonight but the Colts will again be without the services of his long-time back up Jim Sorgi who is out another week with an injury. This means once Manning leaves the game Indianapolis will be primarily in the hands of rookie Curtis Painter, fresh out of Purdue, and another rookie or two. This is just one giant bad spot for Indianapolis who will work more to establish chemistry than to win.
Partly cloudy with an 80-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.


5 Units

Rockies {J.Hammel** (-135) over Nationals {G.Mock**

7:05 PM -- Nationals Park
Colorado Rockies (67-53) -145 over WASHINGTON NATIONALS (43-77) Pitching for Colorado: RH Jason Hammel (7-7, 4.73) Pitching for Washington: RH Garrett Mock (2-4, 5.27) Rockies Trend Profile: Last 10: 7-3, Streak: Won 3, Road Record: 35-30, Against RHP: 47-35. Nationals Trend Profile: Last 10: 5-5, Streak: Lost 2, Home Record: 26-35, Against RHP: 34-59. Starting Time: 7:05 TV: Fox Sports Rocky Mountains, Mid-Atlantic Sports Network2 Comments: The Nationals may have a slight pitching edge ( Mock has an E.R.A. of 1.50 in his last two starts while Hammel is 2-3 with an E.R.A. of 6.65 in his last five starts) in this one but the bottom line says the Rockies are 8-0 against them this season and are hitting the cover off the baseball. My money says Colorado batting trumps Washington pitching in this one.
Partly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to center field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 85.

[oiler]

KELSO STURGEON

Thursday, August 20, 2009

10 Units

Eagles (-3) over Colts

8:00 PM -- Lucas Oil Stadium
Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) -3 over INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (0-1) Prediction: Eagles by 10-13 Starting Time: 8:00 TV: FOX Comments: This is the ultimate situation play in the NFL pre-season. For openers, Philadelphia coach Andy Reid has said he will play his starting units for the entire first half and that should spell big trouble for an Indianapolis team that has so many new players at so many positions they hardly know one another’s names. The Colts have new receivers, two new offensive linemen, other offensive linemen playing new positions and a new coach. There was a reason starting quarterback Peyton Manning was sacked three times on the six downs he played last week in a 13-3 loss to Minnesota last week. Manning will play a bit more tonight but the Colts will again be without the services of his long-time back up Jim Sorgi who is out another week with an injury. This means once Manning leaves the game Indianapolis will be primarily in the hands of rookie Curtis Painter, fresh out of Purdue, and another rookie or two. This is just one giant bad spot for Indianapolis who will work more to establish chemistry than to win.
Partly cloudy with an 80-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.


5 Units

Rockies {J.Hammel** (-135) over Nationals {G.Mock**

7:05 PM -- Nationals Park
Colorado Rockies (67-53) -145 over WASHINGTON NATIONALS (43-77) Pitching for Colorado: RH Jason Hammel (7-7, 4.73) Pitching for Washington: RH Garrett Mock (2-4, 5.27) Rockies Trend Profile: Last 10: 7-3, Streak: Won 3, Road Record: 35-30, Against RHP: 47-35. Nationals Trend Profile: Last 10: 5-5, Streak: Lost 2, Home Record: 26-35, Against RHP: 34-59. Starting Time: 7:05 TV: Fox Sports Rocky Mountains, Mid-Atlantic Sports Network2 Comments: The Nationals may have a slight pitching edge ( Mock has an E.R.A. of 1.50 in his last two starts while Hammel is 2-3 with an E.R.A. of 6.65 in his last five starts) in this one but the bottom line says the Rockies are 8-0 against them this season and are hitting the cover off the baseball. My money says Colorado batting trumps Washington pitching in this one.
Partly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to center field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 85.

i actually like the over in the game.especially if they need to use their bullpens if there is any kind of rain delay

[G-men]

KELSO STURGEON

HIGHROLLER MLB PICK for TODAY

Thursday, August 20, 2009

15 UnitsMarlins {J.Johnson** (-120) over Astros {W.Rodriguez** 8:05 PM -- Minute Maid Park

Florida Marlins (64-56) -115 over HOUSTON ASTROS (58-62)


Pitching for Florida: RH Josh Johnson (12-2, 2.85) Pitching for Houston: LH Wandy Rodriguez (11-7, 3.05) Marlins Trend Profile: Last 10: 7-3, Streak: Lost 1, Road Record: 31-30, Against LHP: 25-16. Astros Trend Profile: Last 10: 4-6, Streak: Won 1, Home Record: 32-29, Against RHP: 46-47. Starting Time: 8:05 TV: Fox Sports Florida, Fox Sports Houston Comments: The numbers say this will be a real pitchers’ duel but the hidden figures say Florida starter Josh Johnson has all the edges. Johnson comes into this game off an outstanding performance in a 6-5 win over Colorado. In that game he had a no-hitter going for six innings, struck out 11 before going to the showers after 7 ½ innings and picked up his fifth straight win. This means Johnson is 19-3 since coming back from elbow surgery in 2008. The figures say he is yet to pitch his best game. As for Houston starter Wandy Rodriguez, this left-hander has had an outstanding season and I have certainly won plenty of money with him for this, but he has started on the downside of his form and is quite vulnerable tonight. After pitching lights out the entire season, in his last start Rodriguez gave up 10 earned runs in four innings as the Astros lost to Milwaukee, 11-2. Trees do not grow to the sky and Rodriguez figures to be in his down cycle for one or two more games before heading up again.
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to left field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 90.