EZ Winners 8/14
***** 10 STAR SELECTION *****
Date: Friday, August 14, 2009
Game: Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
Sport: MLB
Time: 6:05PM CST
Risk/Win: $1180 to win $1000
(970) Detroit Tigers -$118
(Action)
(Line from Betjamaica)
Zach Grienke is on the mound for KC which keeps this line low. After a great start, Grienke's ERA is 5.50 in his last three starts and he has allowed 9 runs in his last 12 innings pitched. He has been very hittable. The Royals bats most likely won't give him much run support either. Jarrod Washburn is 0-1 this season against KC, losing his start against the Royals when he was with Seattle despite allowing only one run in seven innings. The Tigers will give him enough run support here. The Royals are only 1-11 in their last 12 road games against a left handed starter and only 1-6 in Grienke’s last seven starts.
***** 5 STAR PARLAY SELECTION *****
Date: Friday, August 14, 2009
Game #1: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
Sport: MLB
Time: 1:20PM CST
Game #2: New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners
Sport: MLB
Time: 9:10PM CST
Risk/Win: $500 to win $676
(952) Chicago Cubs -$260 and (979) New York Yankees -$143
(Listing Wells, Morton, Pettitte and Rowland-Smith)
(Line from Betjamaica)
The Pirates are basically a AAA team. Morton has pitched fairly well, but Pittsburgh is only 1-4 in his last five road starts. The Cubbies are 7-0 in games started by Wells against a team with a losing record and the Cubs have won 12 out of 15 against the Pirates in Chicago.
The Yankees are rolling and the Mariners are the lowest scoring team in baseball. The Bombers crush lefties while Seattle really struggles against southpaws with a 2-9 record in their last 11 games against a left handed starter. Pettitte has an ERA of 0.90 in his last three starts.
***** 5 STAR SELECTION *****
Date: Friday, August 14, 2009
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sport: MLB
Time: 8:40PM CST
Risk/Win: $540 to win $500
(965) Los Angeles Dodgers -$108
(Listing Kershaw and Haren)
(Line from Betjamaica)
Dan Haren started out the season great, but now has allowed 5 runs in two straight games. It seems to be a pattern for Haren. For his career Haren has a 3.08 ERA 1.06 WHIP pre All-Star break and a 4.17 ERA and 1.32 WHIP post All-Star break. The batting average against him is also 50 points higher post All-Star break. Haren also doesn't get a lot of run support and most likely won't here against Kershaw. Kershaw is a season or two away from being one of the most dominate pitchers in the league.
***** 3 STAR SELECTION *****
Date: Friday, August 14, 2009
Game: Houston Astros @ Milwaukee Brewers
Sport: MLB
Time: 7:05PM CST
Risk/Win: $372 to win $300
(962) Houston Astros -$124
(Listing Gallardo and Rodriguez)
(Line from Betjamaica)
One of my favorite systems is backing the losing team when two teams meet within a seven day span with the same pitching matchup. Gallardo pitched well in the first matchup last Sunday, but was out pitched by Rodriguez and forced to take a loss due to no run support. Wandy's road numbers have really improved this season, but he is still much more dominant pitcher at home where is ERA is 1.92 compared to 3.15 on the road. The Astros are only 1-6 in Rodriguez’s last 7 road starts against the Brewers.
***** 2 STAR SELECTION *****
Date: Friday, August 14, 2009
Game: San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals
Sport: MLB
Time: 7:15PM CST
Risk/Win: $200 to win $400
(963) San Diego Padres +$200
(Listing Latos and Wainwright)
(Line from Betjamaica)
Mat Latos has been great for the Padres and looks like the future ace of their staff. He's pitching with an extra days rest here against the Cardinals whose bats have disappeared in several games this season. Wainwright is a stud as well, but at 2:1 there is a lot of value on San Diego.
***** 2 STAR SELECTION *****
Date: Friday, August 14, 2009
Game: Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Sport: MLB
Time: 6:35PM CST
Risk/Win: $200 to win $240
(959) Philadelphia Phillies +$120
(Action)
(Line from Betjamaica)
The Phillies bats are hot and Joe Blanton is pitching well. Blanton is only 1-2 in his last three starts, but his ERA is only 2.91 in those games. Atlanta's Jair Jurrjens is not in great form right now. Jurrjens is 0-1 with an ERA of 5.87 in his last three starts. Nice value in this line.
***** 2 STAR SELECTION *****
Date: Friday, August 14, 2009
Game: Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
Sport: MLB
Time: 6:35PM CST
Risk/Win: $200 to win $214
(971) Toronto Blue Jays +$107
(Listing Halliday and Shields)
(Line from Betjamaica)
I'll take Doc Halliday as an underdog any day. Shields has been inconsistent for the Rays this season and he has also been a victim of a lack of run support. That shouldn't change here.
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