The home team has dominated this series with Toronto and Baltimore with 8 of 9 going to the home team. The Pitching match up in this game is Romero (10-4 3.53 ERA) vs. Berken (1-9 6.93 ERA). I have been fading this Berken rookie for a while now he has been pitching bad and losing his games by an average of 3.5 runs a game. Romero has been the opposite for Toronto. His team has won 8 out of his last 10 starts and the important factor they are winning by more than a 2 run average in his starts. Baltimore has struggled on the road this season being 17-37 away from home and with Baltimore being 1-11 in Berken’s starts I see this as a great spot for Toronto. Baltimore is 1-5 last 6 starts vs. a left handed pitcher. Baltimore is 3-14 in their last 17 game 1 of a series and being 17-50 against the AL East their last 67 games. Toronto has not been playing great ball either but they are coming 11-5 their last 16 as favorites of –150 to –200. Baltimore is hitting .221 on the road against left handed pitchers and I see them taking advantage of a poor road team in Baltimore.
Premier Cappers 8/7
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