[yisman]

It's been a bad August.

Afternoon

Detroit x6 / Baltimore x4 (1 is RL)
under x7 / over x2
Florida ML x8 RL x2
over x3 / under
Texas x9 / Oakland x2
under x3 / over
Angels x4 / White Sox x6
over x2 / under
Phillies x9 (2 are RL) / Colorado x3
under x5 / over x2
Minnesota x10 / Cleveland
under x3

Night

Arizona x13 / Pittsburgh x2
under x3 / over
Yankees RL x15 ML x9 / Boston x5 (1 is RL)
over x7 / under x2
Dodgers x8 / Atlanta x5
under x5 / over x2
Kansas City x9 / Seattle x9
over x3
San Diego x6 / Mets x2
under x4 / over x5

[yisman]

two best bets look like Florida ML and Yankees RL

[curious]

I have been tracking these plays for August and my records show that they are 18-18. So, we are down a little juice. You must be varying your bet sizes and losing more on the bigger bets??

[yisman]

yep. I'm not treating the bolded plays as equal. What's been happening is that the top bolded plays are losing and the other bolded plays are doing well.

I believe that this is three straight days where the top play lost. That never used to happen.

[Biff Webster]

99% of the picks are favorites. They were also 73-31-1 from July 16-July 31. If you were to bet to win $100 on the favorites and risk $100 on the dogs, in the July 16- July 31 time period you would be up $3,495. That might be why he says its a bad August.

[curious]

yep. I'm not treating the bolded plays as equal. What's been happening is that the top bolded plays are losing and the other bolded plays are doing well.

I believe that this is three straight days where the top play lost. That never used to happen.

I ran some stats on the plays where the number of cappers on each side is close. It looks like the team with the fewest cappers on it is a contrarian indicator. In other words those teams win. I did a random sampling so this is not an exhaustive test, but it looks promising.