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Old 08-03-09, 12:50 PM   #1
G-men
 
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Default Eddie Roman 8/3

Eddie Roman


$10,000 MLB Underdog of the Month
SAN DIEGO PADRES +115 W/ LATOS over ATLANTA W/ KAWAKAMI


$5000 AL West Game of the Week
OAKLAND A'S -120 W/ ANDERSON over TEXAS W/ NIPPERT

Back With Analysis by 3:00 pm est

Last edited by G-men; 08-03-09 at 01:46 PM.
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Old 08-03-09, 03:07 PM   #2
G-men
 
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Eddie Rom
$10,000 MLB Near Even Money Lock of the Month
$10,000 MLB Near Even Money Lock of the Week
SAN DIEGO PADRES +100 W/ MATOS over ATLANTA W/ KAWAKAMI
When I released this play early in the morning, San Diego was +115, even +120 in some places. As of 1:30 pm est the line has moved dramatically and now they are +100 to -105 so I apologize to all for naming this my underdog of the month, however, I cannot control line shifts of this magnitude. It's also why I changed the name of the game because I didn't want to hear anyone crying that I stiffed them.
And as for the line shift, it's probably right because they valued Atlanta way to high today. Here's a team that played the late ESPN game last night, a game which didn't end until 11:30 pm est and then they had to catch a charter for a 5 to 6 hour flight to the West Coast without the benefit of a day off plus they have to deal with Jet Lag.
Matos has been very good for the Padres and the Braves aren't familiar with this kids stuff so they could struggle against him tonight. It's not like Atlanta is a good hitting team to begin with them coming off a 3 game series in which they had just 18 hits.
I haven't like Kawakami all year long and on the road he has had some struggles as he sports a 5.70 ERA on the highway as opposed to a 3.28 ERA at home. Look for him to struggle tonight against a San Diego team that is coming around. I did go against them yesterday as I used Milwaukee but going into that game Sunday they had won 5 straight. In this spot, I think San Diego is a great play.

$5000 AL West Game of the Week
OAKLAND A'S -120 W/ ANDERSON over TEXAS W/ NIPPERT
Oakland is a team that is 15 games worse then Texas is and this pitching match-up today isn't a huge advantage because the last time Texas saw Anderson they lit him up, yet, despite this Oakland is -120 today. Sounds like a dead giveaway to me. Oakland has to be the right side of this game as I expect Texas to struggle with the loss of Kinsler. Sometimes things are unexplainable and sometimes we have to listen to the oddsmakers, as crazy as it seems. They tell me Oakland should win this game tonight, I'm going to listen. Oakland is my secondary play.
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