[cpprcppr]

Game: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Pittsburgh +105 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4.2)

Game: Arizona at New York Mets (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New York Mets +120 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)

Game: Arizona at New York Mets (7:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on New York Mets +1.5 runs -140 (runline) (risk 5 to win 3.6)

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota (7:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 10 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

[LUCKYME1]

Complimentary Picks and Analysis
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Game: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Pittsburgh +105 (moneyline)

Washington is 32-71 overall and 12-38 on the road. And we get to fade them at even money? I'll take that all day long. It's not as if we are backing an equally bad team here. The Pirates are also weak on the road, but at home they are 27-19! Their starter today, Virgil Vasquez, has struggled in three road games but at home he's posted a 3.38 ERA. Yes, Pittsburgh's offense has struggled of late while Washington has been scoring. But, the fact remains that Pittsburgh is the better team with plenty of offense to get it done here. Over the past two seasons, the Nats are just 15-31 when favored at -100 to -150. This season they are 17-31 at -125 to +125 and 20-50 after a loss. Should Washington be a road favorite? No way. I'll take the Pirates.



Complimentary Picks and Analysis
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SARATOGA Race #4 at 2:35 PM Eastern
Top pick: #1 (JAYDEN'S HOPE) - West coast invader was claimed by the successful combination of trainer Bruce Levine and local area resident Roddy Valente. Gelding by "Northern Afleet" raced well in all three starts on California "poly" surfaces and has a nice work on the Belmont dirt since coming east. Can upset this group from the rail with Dominguez who wins at a 28% clip when teamed-up with Levine.
2nd pick: #10 (Antitrust) - He ran well in his first two starts earlier this year at Gulfstream, then raced evenly at Churchill on June 7 in his return from a three-month break. Training fast locally for this and he has a good chance at a square price.
3rd pick: #9 (Eagle Strike) - Latest saw him finish second at Belmont on June 27 in a race that was originally scheduled for the grass. Effort was the best of his career and well-bred colt seems to be getting better for the patient Bobby Frankel. Alan Garcia is aboard and has won with 5 of his last 15 mounts for the "Hall of Fame" conditioner.
4th pick: #5 (Clean Shot) - Cuts-back a furlong after an even try going a mile last out. Previous effort saw him finish a strong second to the highly thought of "Burley's Gold" who is our pick in todasy's fifth race.

[LUCKYME1]

Complimentary Picks and Analysis
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Game: Los Angeles at Sacramento (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles +2.5 (-110)

These two teams have been great over the past decade, making it to the palyoffs with regularity. That was then - this is now. In 2009, these are the worst two teams in the league. I'm backing the second worst team, getting points, in this one. The Monarchs are 6-13 ATS overall and 3-10 ATS against division opponents this season yet they are favored. One of the few things that LA does well is rebound (averaging 45 per game). Sacramento is 0-7 ATS this season against teams that average 42+ boards per game. Sacramento is off a game in which they scored 101 and they are 0-7 ATS this season after scorign 80+ in their last game. They gave up 93 points in that game which can't inspire confidence. I like the Sparks here.