20* No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-115)
This is a game the Rays absolutely should win, and exactly the type of game they need to win to stay competitive in the AL Wildcard race. Sidney Ponson throws for the Royals tonight and this is a guy who is unreliable at best, particularly on the road. He's only thrown twice as the visitor this year, but in those games he has a 15.27 ERA and 2.87 WHIP. For the season, Ponson is 1-5 in 8 starts with a 5.68 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. On the other side of the diamond, the Rays throw David Price, who has been so-so for the most part, but who has thrown his best games at home this season. He is 3-1 on the year when throwing in Tampa with a 3.04 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Price will be aided by a Tampa Bay offense that out performs Kansas City in almost every category. The Rays hit .274 as a team at home this season, while scoring 5.6 runs per game, a huge reason why they have an impressive 31-17 home record. Meanwhile, the Royals see their batting average dip to .241 on the road and their runs per game drop to 3.5, which is probably why they are just 17-29 on the road this season. The moneyline is much to high, but the runline here is well worth the risk as the Rays should win this one handily.
15* on Chicago Cubs -126
Rich Harden has pitched incredibly well for the Cubs on the road this season, earning a 4-1 record with a 2.03 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. He is finally starting to look like the pitcher that the Cubs hoped he would be when they brought him over. Over his last three games he is 2-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.53 WHIP, giving up just a total of 2 earned runs in 19 innings pitched. It's not just Harden that is stepping up his game for Chicago, the Cubs' offense is also picking up their pace. Over their last 7 games, the Cubs are hitting .310 as a team and scoring 7.6 runs per game, more than three runs per game more than they average on the season, and 2.6 more runs per game than the Marlins have scored over the past week. Harden and the Cubs stay hot with a win over Florida Friday night.