Aaron Cook is having another fine season for the Colorado Rockies as his fine sinker keeps balls out of the thin air when he pitches at home. He has been even better on the road, although the same cannot be said about the Colorado offense, which sets up this Under play when the Rockies visit the Cincinnati Reds.
Cook is 10-3 with a 3.87 ERA overall, and if you ate looking for a reason why someone that pitches half of his games at Coors Field can be so successful, look no further than his impressive 2.24 groundball/flyball ratio. His numbers are slightly better on the road, as you might expect, where he is 6-2 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. He has also allowed three earned runs or less in four of his last five starts vs. the Reds.
Now Cincinnati counters with Justin Lehr, who is making his Major League debut tonight. However, it appears Lehr has a good chance to be successful right out of the gate here. He was very impressive in the minors this season, going 13-3 with a 3.31 ERA and he is facing a Colorado offense that is not nearly as formidable on the road. The Rockies are only batting .241 as team away from home, and the fact that they are unfamiliar with Lehr should help his cause.
Thus, look for both offenses to struggle tonight, resulting in a rather safe Under.
LT Profits 7/31
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